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User Info Is The Market About To "Undo" The Fed's Purchases? in forum [Credit]
Ricka01
Posts: 1215
Incept: 2009-03-05
Gold A True American Patriot!
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Analysis from The Big Picture:
http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2009/09/is-....

The final two paragraphs:

"Apparently bond managers are now concluding the Federal Reserve is not going to sell their holdings acquired through their QE operations. So, they are demanding the calculation of, and in the case of Vanguard, the adopting of “float-adjusted” indices as their benchmarks.

If this is the beginning of a trend, it has the potential to be a big deal. As the Federal Reserve buys, weightings in the float-adjusted indices fall (see the first table below). Managers seeking to keep their weightings constant will then sell the same securities the Federal Reserve purchases. Effectively this “undoes” the Federal Reserve purchases and defeats the purpose of the program. In the end, it merely changes the ownership of securities and does little to push yields lower."

This is exactly what Karl D. said would happen - if the Fed is going to buy, eveyone will sell to them!
Pcscipioi
Posts: 735
Incept: 2008-01-06
Green
LVNV
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Genesis
Posts: 130804
Incept: 2007-06-26
Admin A True American Patriot!
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Gee, funny how that works....

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I don't care if it makes sense -- only if it makes money. -- Me
Bank (n): See scam, fraud and theft. Eat a bankster -- they're low-carb.
What part of "shall not be infringed" was unclear?
Cjworkman
Posts: 7948
Incept: 2007-08-22
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Banned
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Apparently you need more than a PHD in economics to know what happens when you create an inflated bid...


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Throxxofvron
Posts: 10339
Incept: 2009-02-17
Green
Hyper-Speculative Psycho-Facsistic Parabolic Blow-Off
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Oh, it gets better than that.

Ben is really excellent at Overpaying & getting creamed with Coupon...

Voila!: http://www.tickerforum.org/cgi-ticker/ak....


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DIONYSUS: " Thou hast no knowledge of the life thou art leading; thy very existence is now a mystery to thee. " -from 'The Bacchantes' By Euripides “During times of universal deceit, telling the truth becomes a revolutionary act.” -George Orwell
Bozonian
Posts: 19892
Incept: 2007-09-01
Green
Saratoga Springs, New York
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Hmmmm. Who is Coupon and how much does she charge?

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Forget about blaming, fighting with, or crediting other people. The only real challenge in life, is with yourself. -- Me

Everything I write is my opinion and not to be considered proven fact. Nothing I write should be considered financial advice.
Vapor
Posts: 1266
Incept: 2008-04-10
Green
virginia
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Quote:
Dow Jones – Vanguard Shifts Bond Index Due To Fed Buys
The Vanguard Group plans to switch 12 of its bond index funds to benchmarks designed to exclude the hefty chunk of bonds the government has purchased through its buyback program. Other fund providers may follow suit. Eight existing and four proposed Vanguard bond index mutual funds and exchange-traded funds will switch to tracking the Barclays Capital U.S. Aggregate Float Adjusted Index and its sub-indexes by year’s end. Unlike the indexes now in use, the new indexes adjust for so-called float, or the number of shares currently available for trading, a practice more commonly associated with stock benchmarks that seek to disregard shares owned by governments, company insiders or corporations, which have no intention of selling. Vanguard says the new bond benchmarks more closely represent actual liquidity in the market, and thus should help insulate the funds from price distortions created by the Fed’s buybacks. The money manager says it expects no significant change in the risk attributes, including duration, of the bond index funds.


Interesting. I wonder how concerned these institutional bond traders are about price distortions of bonds that are NOT held by the Fed. Doesnt the feds actions distort the entire bond market, even if the Fed buys only treasuries?
Iflyjetzzz
Posts: 8876
Incept: 2007-07-29
Green A True American Patriot!
Tucson, AZ
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Quote:
Hmmmm. Who is Coupon and how much does she charge?


Coupon's in Vegas at the Palomino Club.
Are you looking for an hourly or nightly rate?

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When the facts change, I change my mind, sir. What do you do?
Movedtonz
Posts: 953
Incept: 2008-03-09
Green
Hawkes Bay
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Think of the converse situation...

What happens if the Fed starts selling and all these funds are tied to these floating indices? Well, IMO it would appear that all the funds that are tied to the float would have to buy what the Fed sells. Of course, will the Fed sell?

Really wish that the MF mgrs had done this index change a year ago!

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Americans need to stop claiming stupidity to get out of responsibility. -Tsk
Bozonian
Posts: 19892
Incept: 2007-09-01
Green
Saratoga Springs, New York
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Largest bond fund, Pimco, cuts US government holdings

http://gata.org/node/9607

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Forget about blaming, fighting with, or crediting other people. The only real challenge in life, is with yourself. -- Me

Everything I write is my opinion and not to be considered proven fact. Nothing I write should be considered financial advice.
Laswyguy
Posts: 8326
Incept: 2007-07-25
Green
Orange County, CA
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uuh.. and if they sell.. where do they put the money?? its gotta go somwhere..dow 36,000..LOL

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positive alpha - bitches!
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