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User Info	2010: Colin in forum [RagingEarth]
Bezzle Posts: 15043 Incept: 2009-08-02 Banned	(Placeholder) ---------- El Sock-Puppeto exposed and killed by Tickerguy 2010-07-30 04:43:45 Permalink
Dakine2004 Posts: 9228 Incept: 2007-10-23 MD.MI.NC.SD.	this...? 2010-07-30 05:02:26 Permalink
Landshark Posts: 11236 Incept: 2008-02-07 The Wild West	Needs to gain latitude, but here's what it may look like in one week: ---------- Success in life is a matter not so much of talent and opportunity as of concentration and perseverance. – C. W. Wendte Last modified: 2010-07-30 16:28:02 by landshark 2010-07-30 16:27:00 Permalink
Bezzle Posts: 15043 Incept: 2009-08-02 Banned	Spin clearly evident now: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/flas.... ---------- El Sock-Puppeto exposed and killed by Tickerguy 2010-08-01 12:47:15 Permalink
Landshark Posts: 11236 Incept: 2008-02-07 The Wild West	***: ---------- Success in life is a matter not so much of talent and opportunity as of concentration and perseverance. – C. W. Wendte 2010-08-01 13:53:27 Permalink*
Truthseeker Posts: 8473 Incept: 2007-10-07 NorCal	Buckle up? ---------- "...But people better realize that the worst-case scenario could actually happen.9/11 happened. This can happen. An economic 9/11, the likes of which we've never seen." Gerald Celente 2010-08-01 13:56:25 Permalink
Landshark Posts: 11236 Incept: 2008-02-07 The Wild West	TC development chance now at 80%: NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT SUN AUG 1 2010 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... A LARGE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CENTERED ABOUT 875 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS IS MOVING WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS GRADUALLY BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION MAY BE FORMING. IF THIS CURRENT DEVELOPMENT TREND CONTINUES...THEN ADVISORIES ON THIS DISTURBANCE COULD BE INITIATED AS EARLY AS THIS AFTERNOON OR EVENING. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...80 PERCENT...OF TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL WAVE IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND ADJACENT LAND AREAS OF CENTRAL AMERICA. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR BEFORE THE DISTURBANCE MOVES ACROSS NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS IN THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER STEWART/KIMBERLAIN ---------- Success in life is a matter not so much of talent and opportunity as of concentration and perseverance. – C. W. Wendte Last modified: 2010-08-01 14:10:33 by landshark 2010-08-01 14:09:00 Permalink
Chellie Posts: 1153 Incept: 2008-09-29 Cleveland	We'll probably see Colin named tonight or tomorrow morning. 000 WTNT34 KNHC 021435 TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042010 1100 AM EDT MON AUG 02 2010 ...NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE ATLANTIC... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...12.6N 41.1W ABOUT 1365 MI...2200 KM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 41.1 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR. A CONTINUED MOTION TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS... AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BY TONIGHT OR TUESDAY. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT. $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN ---------- "If you want a vision of the future, imagine a boot stamping on a human face - forever." 2010-08-02 11:38:47 Permalink
Quillbill Posts: 1469 Incept: 2009-06-23 Northwest Illinois	Looks like big "nuttin burger" according to this. Lets hope.... http://hurricane.accuweather.com/blogs/n.... ---------- It is a new day....DO SOMETHING WITH IT! 2010-08-02 18:18:12 Permalink
Bezzle Posts: 15043 Incept: 2009-08-02 Banned	Accuweather blows; they're the CNBS of weather. Quote: Historically, tropical storms named in the area where Tropical Depression Four has formed rarely threaten the United States. ---------- El Sock-Puppeto exposed and killed by Tickerguy Last modified: 2010-08-03 00:53:48 by bezzle 2010-08-03 00:45:32 Permalink
Chellie Posts: 1153 Incept: 2008-09-29 Cleveland	Hello, Colin. 000 WTNT34 KNHC 030831 TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM COLIN ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042010 500 AM EDT TUE AUG 03 2010 ...DEPRESSION FOUR BECOMES THE THIRD TROPICAL STORM OF THE 2010 ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASON... DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM COLIN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 47.2 WEST. COLIN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 23 MPH...37 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF COLIN WILL PASS WELL TO THE NORTHEAST AND NORTH OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS LATE WEDNESDAY AND EARLY THURSDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS OR SO. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. ---------- "If you want a vision of the future, imagine a boot stamping on a human face - forever." 2010-08-03 04:39:49 Permalink
Rickysa Posts: 1637 Incept: 2007-08-22 Southern Pines, NC	Fran, Bertha, Bonnie, Floyd and Isable make me really hope the upper level low b/w Colin and the east coast provide enough shear to weaken or make him a fish storm 2010-08-03 08:07:44 Permalink
Drench Posts: 28631 Incept: 2009-11-10	Quote: 000 WTNT34 KNHC 031434 TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM COLIN ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042010 1100 AM EDT TUE AUG 03 2010 ...COLIN MOVING RAPIDLY TOWARD THE WEST WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.2N 49.5W ABOUT 840 MI...1355 KM ESE OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 24 MPH...39 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- INTERESTS IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS AND THE VIRGIN ILSNADS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF COLIN. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM COLIN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 49.5 WEST. COLIN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 24 MPH...39 KM/HR...AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF COLIN SHOULD PASS TO THE NORTHEAST AND NORTH OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS LATE WEDNESDAY AND EARLY THURSDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME SLOW STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIA.... 2010-08-03 10:51:37 Permalink
Bezzle Posts: 15043 Incept: 2009-08-02 Banned	Just because I like scaring the livid **** out of everyone, I should remind everyone that Hurricane Katrina formed out of the remnants of a near-identical system in August under similar macro-scale atmospheric patterns. I watched a Cape Verde wave become a depression in the central Atlantic which was forecast to remain weak and recurve off the east coast. Instead the system de-coupled in the face of southwesterly shear (similar to the stripping which caused Colin to be downgraded yesterday), but putter along WNW at the surface for several days until over the northwestern Bahamas, under-cutting the trough. There it blew up again, and, with a vertical presence re-established, it was pushed southwest by the circulation around a huge continental high-pressure dome over the eastern US. It crossed Florida into the Gulf, and exploded. ---------- El Sock-Puppeto exposed and killed by Tickerguy 2010-08-04 23:05:47 Permalink
Drench Posts: 28631 Incept: 2009-11-10	He's baaaaaaaaaaaaaaack. Quote: ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT THU AUG 5 2010 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... 1. THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL STORM COLIN...A LOW PRESSURE AREA...IS LOCATED ABOUT 475 MILES SOUTH OF BERMUDA AND MOVING NORTHWESTWARD NEAR 20 MPH. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION OF THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME BETTER DEFINED...AND AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS ENROUTE TO DETERMINE WHETHER IT HAS BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR TROPICAL STORM. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...70 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. 2. SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA IS CURRENTLY MINIMAL. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...OF THIS DISTURBANCE SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR BEFORE THE SYSTEM MOVES OVER CENTRAL AMERICA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN NNNN http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_atl.shtml 2010-08-05 17:47:06 Permalink
Drench Posts: 28631 Incept: 2009-11-10	Quote: 000 WTNT34 KNHC 060003 TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM COLIN SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 8...CORRECTED NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042010 730 PM AST THU AUG 05 2010 CORRECTED NEXT ADVISORY ISSUANCE TIME ...COLIN STRENGTHENS AS IT MOVES NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD... SUMMARY OF 730 PM AST...2330 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...25.6N 66.3W ABOUT 470 MI...760 KM S OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...32 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 730 PM AST...2330 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM COLIN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.3 WEST. COLIN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/HR. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH AND A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HR. REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT DURING THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...WITH SLOW STRENGTHENING FORECAST FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM NORTHEAST THROUGH SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WINDS...TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD OVER BERMUDA WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER STEWART/BROWN http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIA.... 2010-08-05 20:52:40 Permalink
Drench Posts: 28631 Incept: 2009-11-10	Never mind what I said about time zones earlier. AST is the same as EDT, which is what the Eastern time zone is on now. So 11:00 pm AST is 11:00 pm EDT. Last modified: 2010-08-05 21:03:08 by drench 2010-08-05 20:56:16 Permalink
Drench Posts: 28631 Incept: 2009-11-10	Quote: 000 WTNT34 KNHC 060259 TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM COLIN ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042010 1100 PM AST THU AUG 05 2010 ...COLIN CONTINUES TO MOVE TOWARD BERMUDA... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...26.3N 66.6W ABOUT 430 MI...690 KM SSW OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO BERMUDA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM COLIN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.6 WEST. COLIN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH...ACCOMPANIED BY A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED...IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HR. ON THE FORECAST TRACK... THE CENTER OF COLIN IS EXPECTED TO PASS JUST WEST OF BERMUDA ON SATURDAY. HOWEVER...ONLY A SLIGHT DEVIATION TO THE EAST COULD BRING THE CENTER OVER THE ISLAND. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND FRIDAY... WITH SOME STRENGTHENING FORECAST FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM NORTHEAST THROUGH SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD OVER BERMUDA WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE...ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES...WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ON BERMUDA...ESPECIALLY ALONG SOUTH-FACING BEACHES. RAINFALL...HEAVY RAIN SQUALLS SHOULD BEGIN TO AFFECT BERMUDA BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON...AND TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ON THE ISLAND. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM AST. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER STEWART http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIA.... 2010-08-05 23:24:48 Permalink
Drench Posts: 28631 Incept: 2009-11-10	Quote: 000 WTNT34 KNHC 062330 TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM COLIN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 12A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042010 800 PM AST FRI AUG 06 2010 ...COLIN CONTINUES NORTHWARD WITH MOST OF THE WEATHER EAST OF THE CENTER... SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...28.7N 66.6W ABOUT 280 MI...450 KM SSW OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM COLIN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.6 WEST. COLIN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR...AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED LATER TONIGHT OR SATURDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF COLIN IS EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR OR OVER BERMUDA LATE SATURDAY OR SATURDAY NIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT COLIN REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED...AND LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST FOR THE REST OF THE NIGHT. HOWEVER...SLOW STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD OVER BERMUDA ON SATURDAY. STORM SURGE...COLIN IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE COASTAL FLOODING AND LARGE AND BATTERING WAVES IN BERMUDA...PARTICULARLY ALONG SOUTH-FACING BEACHES. RAINFALL...COLIN IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES IN BERMUDA. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER AVILA http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIA.... 2010-08-06 19:35:25 Permalink
Bezzle Posts: 15043 Incept: 2009-08-02 Banned	Heh....models are losing their handle on it; Colin has been wobbling east-southeast all day. ---------- El Sock-Puppeto exposed and killed by Tickerguy 2010-08-07 16:24:47 Permalink
Drench Posts: 28631 Incept: 2009-11-10	Quote: 000 WTNT34 KNHC 081148 TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM COLIN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 18A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042010 800 AM AST SUN AUG 08 2010 ...COLIN MOVING CLOSER TO BERMUDA...BARELY A TROPICAL STORM... SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...31.2N 65.6W ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM SSW OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 5 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1013 MB...29.91 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF POORLY-ORGANIZED TROPICAL STORM COLIN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.6 WEST. COLIN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR. A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT WITH A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST. A FURTHER INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED ON MONDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF COLIN WILL PASS NEAR OR OVER BERMUDA LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1013 MB...29.91 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD OVER BERMUDA TODAY. STORM SURGE...COLIN IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE SOME COASTAL FLOODING AND LARGE WAVES IN BERMUDA...PARTICULARLY ALONG SOUTH-FACING BEACHES. RAINFALL...COLIN IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES IN BERMUDA. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER BROWN http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIA.... 2010-08-08 09:31:32 Permalink
Drench Posts: 28631 Incept: 2009-11-10	Quote: 000 WTNT34 KNHC 081735 TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION COLIN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 19A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042010 200 PM AST SUN AUG 08 2010 ...COLIN LOSING ORGANIZATION...COULD DISSIPATE LATER TODAY... SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...32.4N 65.6W ABOUT 45 MI...75 KM W OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1015 MB...29.97 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ SATELLITE AND RADAR IMAGERY INDICATE THAT THE CIRCULATION OF COLIN CONTINUES TO BECOME LESS DEFINED. IF THIS TREND CONTINUES...COLIN COULD DISSIPATE AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE LATER TODAY. AT 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF POORLY-ORGANIZED TROPICAL DEPRESSION COLIN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.6 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND MONDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...COLIN WILL MOVE AWAY FROM BERMUDA LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NO CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. HOWEVER...COLIN COULD DEGENERATE TO A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE LATER TODAY. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1015 MB...29.97 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE POSSIBLE OVER BERMUDA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. RAINFALL...COLIN IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES IN BERMUDA. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER BROWN http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIA.... 2010-08-08 15:40:23 Permalink


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