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User Info Groupon IPO Valuation up to $25 Billion in forum [General]
End_the_bubbles
Posts: 9525
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Quote:
Groupon Said to Discuss IPO Valuation of Up to $25B in Talks with Banks
inline
By Douglas MacMillan - Mar 17, 2011 10:24 AM PT

Groupon Inc. has held talks with banks about an initial public offering that would value the online-coupon company at as much as $25 billion, according to two people with knowledge of the discussions.

The two-year-old startup’s IPO may happen this year and is unlikely to assign Groupon a valuation of less than $15 billion, the people told Bloomberg Businessweek. They asked not to be identified because the talks were private.

Groupon, the top provider of online daily discounts, has pushed into hundreds of new cities and doubled its subscriber base over the past three months. That’s helped its valuation soar since December, when it turned down a bid from Google Inc. (GOOG) for $6 billion. The company now has 70 million users and reaches more than 500 markets, up from 300 when Google made its offer.

Closely held consumer Internet companies like Groupon are “being valued as though they are going to be the next Google or EBay or Amazon,” said Claire Enders, the founder of London media-consulting company Enders Analysis. “But their business models may reach their limits a lot more quickly, or not work in as many markets.”

Groupon was valued at about $1.3 billion last April, when it raised $135 million from investors, including Digital Sky Technologies. It contemplated more funding at a $3 billion valuation in November, shortly before Google’s offer. An investment of $950 million, completed in January, pegged Groupon’s worth at $4.75 billion.
Clothes, Nail Salons

Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS) and Morgan Stanley (MS) have discussed handling an IPO for Groupon, a person familiar with the talks said in January. Those meetings focused on a $15 billion valuation for a future IPO, the person said.

A $25 billion valuation would put Groupon’s worth above Google’s when that company went public in 2004. Google, the world’s biggest Internet-search provider, had a valuation of $23 billion at the time of its IPO in August 2004.

Julie Mossler, a spokeswoman for Groupon, declined to comment.

Groupon, based in Chicago, offers daily discounts of as much as 90 percent from local businesses, such as restaurants, nail salons and clothing stores. It then keeps a portion of the revenue.

While Groupon leads the daily-deal market, it faces mounting competition from rivals such as LivingSocial. That company is close to raising as much as $400 million in funding that would value it at more than $2 billion, two people with knowledge of the talks said this week.

Even so, Groupon may have an edge as the biggest company in the industry, said Alex DeGroote, a media and technology analyst at Panmure Gordon & Co. in London.

The daily deals business “is hot as anything, and no one knows where it’s going to tap out,” DeGroote said. “The experience of Internet companies shows that margins and profitability tend to accrue very substantially to the market leader.”

To contact the reporters on this story: Douglas MacMillan in San Francisco at dmacmillan3@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Tom Giles at tgiles5@bloomberg.net


http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-03-17....

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In the long run even the most despotic governments with all their brutality and cruelty are no match for ideas. Eventually the ideology that has won the support of the majority will prevail and cut the ground from under the tyrant's feet and rise in rebellion to overthrow their masters.

Reason: Heading.
The_venerable
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USD = toxic asset
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Talk about Nasdaq bubble '99 redux.

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The kingdom is falling.
Bogey
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They got the money, hey
You know they got away
They headed down south and they're still running today
Singin ...

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I don't mind Obama so much. It's the people in power that I can't stand.

Reason: better lyrics
Markgoldman
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Holy ****.

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Consent Withdrawn.
Macneib
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Seoul. What a ****hole
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This explains why they laughed in the face of Google's $6B offer.
Personally I would've taken the Google offer and GTFO'd.

You all know this is going to end in tears for someone right?




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The worst thing about crossing a line is when you don’t know, you already have.
Antone
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Facebook I can somewhat understand. Twitter...maaaaayyybeeee. But Groupon? WTF?

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As if anything has changed:

Wir sind gefickt.
Laswyguy
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and that's why I bankers get paid.. to raise money for you.. when you think its impossible.

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positive alpha - bitches!
Patmcgroin
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At least Groupon has a way to get the money.

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"I know a few arcane, obscure financial acronyms that the general public doesn't know and that's about it."
End_the_bubbles
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Quote:
This explains why they laughed in the face of Google's $6B offer.


As I understand it, the Google offer was fake. It's all part of the Wall Street perception scam. They threw out that "offer" (promptly rejected) to help Wall Street create an aura of "value" for Groupon. Google was just doing a favor for it's old buddies (GS) who helped get their IPO off years back.

$25 is a ****ing stretch though. Hell, so is $6, but they'll get it done, you watch...........

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In the long run even the most despotic governments with all their brutality and cruelty are no match for ideas. Eventually the ideology that has won the support of the majority will prevail and cut the ground from under the tyrant's feet and rise in rebellion to overthrow their masters.
Drumm23
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Prefer Groupon to Twitter to be honest, they're already making money and will make plenty in the future. Can't say the same about Twitter. I was in Dublin at the weekend and Groupon is going strong there, they're growing quickly.

$25bln though? Think I'll pass.

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"If you don't know what you want...you end up with a lot you don't." — C. Palahniuk

Netpounder
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Do I get a Groupon to buy Groupon stocks when it IPO's? I'll be checking my Groupon account for it.

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"If the world wants to make the region insecure, we will make the world insecure.”

Iranian MP Parviz Sorouri
Gen_maximus57
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doesn't matter - it will be bought with OPM and everyone will get their commissions
Bergziege
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Webvan 2.0

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Luckily for me, a High Standard of Living is easy. All I require is Internet, a tv dinner and a blowjob and I'm the richest guy in the world. - Bozonian

I've been chasing holes all my life and it doesn't always turn out bad. - Bozonian
Netpounder
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Sounds like ... and will be like ...

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G_pGT8Q_t....

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"If the world wants to make the region insecure, we will make the world insecure.”

Iranian MP Parviz Sorouri
Eighty6thebs
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1999 is here again.

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"Sounds to me like you guys a couple of bookies" - Billy Ray Valentine

"No I am not scared, and neither should you be!" - Iraqi Information Minister
Antone
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I always thought that too, Netpounder.

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As if anything has changed:

Wir sind gefickt.
Tunafish
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Sleepycpa
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My pepsi just shot out of my nose. This can't be real.

I signed up, just for fun.

If I wanted a spa treatment or manicure, I'd be in clover. What a bunch of crap.


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I used to believe my sig line.

"Never attribute to malice that which is adequately explained by stupidity."
Ksfq
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I don't know, but Groupon is making a lot money. Much more money that Facebook now or Google in that stage.
They have $4B in revenue (according to Bloomberg BusinessWeek article). And that can double that in 6 months. And they cost structure is very good: no need to hire expensive engineers (just bunch of tupperware salesman), no servers to run, no expensive offices, etc.


Matt
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Margin compression is going to hit that them and their competitors bad over the next couple years. I have a friend working in sales for their largest competitor, and the big players are all starting to try and underbid the competition to lock in the retailers (making his life more difficult). The insane profit margins are not sustainable as competition continues to heat up, and the industry become commoditized.

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I love the smell of burnt pump monkey in the morning. -Etz
Houstonstan
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Ksfg: It is a fad. What is to stop a competitor coming in and doing the same/similar? Already local competitors like free newspaper as matching them but with their local existing subscriber space.

My own experience with Groupon has been mixed. It is a terrible business model for a company. I don't see it surviving.

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Hobbies: Masturbation and smoking. I'm a 40 day'er and I smoke a lot.
Thecat
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@KSFQ : That's exactly why the valuation seems a bit left field. They have a very copyable model.

Realistic
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The jealousy here is at stench levels

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Damn... 9 percent plus unemployment, and ma bell being investigated... help I'm in the 80s! - Jeffrey_thomason
Uncleoxidant
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We're definitely in InternetBubble 2.0. Back in the summer I interviewed at a (then) small startup downtown. they were in very modest digs. Kind of cramped. About 5 engineers if I recall...

Then in January they had a big party to celebrate their move to much bigger (10X) digs. They got VC funding and hired a bunch of engineers to fill that space. They had a live band, open bar and plenty of great food.

Same day I attended a similar party at a mobile apps startup - very similar story. couple of weeks later, I attended a programming meeting at yet a third downtown startup - free food! Pizza, every kind of soft drink imaginable... their kitchen with 3 fridges was very well stocked... Big screen TVs all over the walls.

VCs throwing money around.

Also hearing that it's become very difficult to hire in Silicon Valley now...

Yep, we're in another bubble.

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I am not a consumer. I am a Citizen!
Aliveh
Posts: 4047
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this one makes no sense to me...

no barriers to entry
no first mover advantage

already tons of competition from copycats LivingSocial, Daily Deal, Yelp Daily Deal.

http://tomuse.com/group-buying-sites-cou....

I would not be shocked if they are gone in 10 years.

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