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User Info X1 Solar Flare in forum [RagingEarth] Item is Locked
Scrood
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Sunspot AR1429 just let off an X1 solar flare...no details on whether it's headed our way.

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/rt_plots/xray_5....

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Scrood
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X-5 Solar Flare just detected!

From SpaceWeather.com:

MAJOR SOLAR FLARE: Earth-orbiting satellites have just detected an X5-class solar flare from big sunspot AR1429. The blast peaked on March 7th at 00:28 UT. Radiation storms and radio blackouts are possible.

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/rt_plots/xray_5....

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Ponzi_unit
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Is this it?


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Scrood
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Yep!

And it's going to take some time to rotate around to the backside of the sun...

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Nullzero
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Wow x5 flare, wonder what a direct hit of CME would do to earth...

Pietertvl
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NFA
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How can that pic be it? ... it has 3/5 date UT not 3/7

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Scrood
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That's the same sunspot...it's been very active.

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Nullzero
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Azusgm
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Wasn't there a huge solar flare before Fukushima?

(I'm pretty dumb on these things, but still curious. Sorry.)
Asimov
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Azusgm: Irrelevant.

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If
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Any concerns here about this X5? Do we know yet if this will be a direct blow to Earth?

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Snowmizuh
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Quote:
GEOMAGNETIC STORM UPDATE: A CME propelled toward Earth by this morning's X5-class solar flare is expected to reach our planet on March 8th at 0625 UT (+/- 7 hr). Analysts at the Goddard Space Weather Lab, who prepared the CME's forecast track, say the impact could spark a strong-to-severe geomagnetic storm. Sky watchers at all latitudes should be alert for auroras.


from: spaceweather.com
Landshark
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CME track forecast:

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Asimov
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Looks like we're gonna get nailed with this one, if the track holds.

May get some low latitude aurora.

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Peterm99
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Quote:
Sky watchers at all latitudes should be alert for auroras. (emphasis mine)
Wow!! That's gotta be extremely rare.

Do they mean that people at the equator may actually see auroras as well, or are they just messing with us?

Related (but off-the-wall) question: When someone at the equator sees an aurora directly overhead, what is it called: aurora borealis or aurora australis, or is there another name such as aurora medialis?

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Asimov
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Very very unlikely to see it as far south as the equator.

Here's an image I got of one from east TN back in 2003 and 2004

[Edit: Those were just barely visible to the naked eye. If I hadn't known that it was possible, I would never have even tried with the camera.]

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It's justifiably immoral to deal morally with an immoral entity.
If you trade based on what other people say, you will lose money. Especially what I say. I won't be held responsible. Festina lente.

Asimov
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This is an excellent resource to get an idea if you'll be able to see them at your location, but it's down right now. :(

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/pmap/pmapN.html

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It's justifiably immoral to deal morally with an immoral entity.
If you trade based on what other people say, you will lose money. Especially what I say. I won't be held responsible. Festina lente.
Mpilar
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I'm curious if we'll be able to see them in TN...when's a good time to take a glance assuming we're not under cloud cover tonight?

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Asimov
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It depends more on when it hits earth than the time of night. With a +/-7 hour window, there's really no way to be for sure.

Here's a good resource to see how well the seeing will be: http://cleardarksky.com/csk/ (just put in your city, if it's not already in the database, they'll add it.)

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It's justifiably immoral to deal morally with an immoral entity.
If you trade based on what other people say, you will lose money. Especially what I say. I won't be held responsible. Festina lente.
Asimov
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Mpilar: Here's the link for nashville: http://cleardarksky.com/c/NashTEkey.html....

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If you trade based on what other people say, you will lose money. Especially what I say. I won't be held responsible. Festina lente.
Mpilar
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Cool, thanks Asi! Looks like we should have clear skies until early morning, but the CME should reach the Earth around 7am EST tomorrow with the effects lasting up to 24 hours. Guess we'll be under cloud cover. :(
http://www.space.com/14818-solar-flare-m....

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- Every normal man must be tempted at times to spit on his hands, hoist the black flag, and begin to slit throats. H. L. Mencken
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Asimov
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Also be sure to keep in mind that if they are faint they're just going to look like real thin hazy clouds to the naked eye if you can see them at all. It takes a camera to bring out the color.

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It's justifiably immoral to deal morally with an immoral entity.
If you trade based on what other people say, you will lose money. Especially what I say. I won't be held responsible. Festina lente.
Snowmizuh
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Arrival is March 8th at 0625 UT (+/- 7 hr).

It is currently 22:25 UT, so the window opens in about 1hr (0625 UT - 7) and will continue for another 14 hrs. This make for some interesting sky watching tonight!

Hope it is not a Carrington-level Event.
Avianphlu
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I have a solar array with battery back up...I am going to disconnect the system and isolate tonight just in case.
Scrood
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That corresponds to about 5pm MST tonight to 7am tomorrow morning out here...

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