The SPC in Norman, OK look to be taking this storm threat VERY seriously. It is the first time ever the SPC have issued a HIGH risk on it's initial day two convective outlook. They don't muck around with the wording either.

Here is the text:

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK RESENT 1
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0102 AM CDT FRI APR 13 2012

VALID 141200Z - 151200Z

...THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF OK AND KS...

...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF NW TX...CNTRL
AND WRN OK...CNTRL AND ERN KS...SE NEB...NW MO AND FAR SW IA...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE MID-MO
VALLEY...UPPER MS VALLEY...SRN PLAINS AND CNTRL PLAINS...

TORNADO OUTBREAK LIKELY ACROSS THE SRN AND CNTRL PLAINS NWD INTO THE
MID-MO VALLEY FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT

...SRN AND CNTRL PLAINS...
AN IMPRESSIVE UPPER-LEVEL LOW WILL MOVE EWD ACROSS FOUR CORNERS
REGION SATURDAY AS A POWERFUL 90 TO 110 KT MID-LEVEL JET EJECTS NEWD
INTO THE SRN AND CNTRL PLAINS. AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM...A CORRIDOR OF
MODERATE TO STRONG INSTABILITY IS FORECAST ACROSS ECNTRL KS...CNTRL
OK INTO NW TX. THIS COMBINED WITH STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND
STRONG LOW-LEVEL SHEAR WILL BE VERY FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE STORMS AND
A TORNADO OUTBREAK WILL BE LIKELY ACROSS THE SRN AND CNTRL PLAINS
FROM LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON LASTING THROUGH THE EVENING AND INTO
THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD.

NAM AND NAMKF FORECAST SOUNDINGS AT 00Z SATURDAY EVENING FROM SALINA
KS SWD TO AROUND OKLAHOMA CITY SHOW MLCAPE VALUES FROM 2000 TO 3000
J/KG WITH 0-6 KM SHEAR IN THE 60 TO 75 KT RANGE. IN
ADDITION...HODOGRAPHS ARE LARGE AND LOOPED WITH 0-1 KM SHEAR VALUES
IN THE 30 TO 40 KT RANGE. THIS ENVIRONMENT SHOULD BE VERY FAVORABLE
FOR SUPERCELLS AND TORNADOES. 0-3 KM STORM RELATIVE HELICITIES ARE
FORECAST TO BE AROUND 400 M2/S2 WHICH IS IDEAL FOR STRONG TORNADOES
AND A TORNADO OUTBREAK APPEARS LIKELY. THE GREATEST THREAT FOR
SIGNIFICANT TORNADOES SHOULD EXIST SATURDAY EVENING FROM SALINA SWD
TO OKLAHOMA CITY. 700 TO 500 MB LAPSE RATES AROUND 7.5 C/KM WILL
ALSO BE FAVORABLE FOR LARGE HAIL AND HAIL GREATER THAN 2 INCHES WILL
BE POSSIBLE THE MORE INTENSE SUPERCELLS. A WIND DAMAGE THREAT WILL
ALSO EXIST DUE TO THE EXPECTED INTENSE NATURE OF THE STORMS.

THE MAIN CONCERN FOR THIS FORECAST IS CONVECTIVE COVERAGE. MANY OF
THE MODELS DO NOT DEVELOP NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE DRYLINE.
IN SPITE OF THIS...THE MODELS DIMINISH THE CAP ACROSS THE SRN AND
CNTRL PLAINS LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON SO THIS BRINGS THE MODELS INTO
QUESTION. IN ADDITION...THE MODELS DRIVE A BAND OF LARGE-SCALE
ASCENT ACROSS CNTRL KS DURING THE EARLY EVENING SUGGESTING MANY
STORMS SHOULD INITIATE WITH STORMS INITIATING SWD WITH TIME EARLY
SATURDAY EVENING AS THE LOW-LEVEL JET STRENGTHENS. THESE FACTORS
COMBINED WITH SFC DEWPOINTS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S F AND VERY
FAVORABLE LOW-LEVEL SHEAR PROFILES SHOULD PRODUCE AND ENVIRONMENT
FAVORABLE FOR A TORNADO OUTBREAK. AFTER COLLABORATION WITH WFOS
WICHITA...NORMAN...TOPEKA...TULSA AND DODGE CITY...A HIGH RISK WILL
BE ISSUED DUE TO THE POTENTIAL FOR A HIGH-END LIFE THREATENING EVENT
ACROSS THE SRN AND CNTRL PLAINS.

That is a NASTY forecast.

bilge..
VERY HIGH Risk---> 60%+

Stay away from trailer parks???

Stay away from Oklahoma and Kansas!

How about we just stay away from tornadoes? :P

I live in Wichita on the west side and there have been warnings for 2 days at least now, the big storm chasers are all here and so is the Weather Channel. The National Weather Service is really nervous about this afternoon. 3 schools that have proms tonight have moved their dances to sites with storm shelters and some events are canceled. The newspaper is reporting that the Storm Prediction Center says Wichita is in the crosshairs, probably moreso than Oklahoma City and Tulsa from what all the experts are saying. We're about as prepared as we can be aside from leaving altogether.

Here...

The Weather Channel raised the Tor-Con level specifically for Wichita to a 9/10 from 8/10 and issued a PDS (particularly dangerous situation) warning. They are saying to take this threat VERY seriously.

NW of Greensburg, KS 5 minutes ago, monster!

Baseball size hail? **** that.

From Wichita where a large tornado has gone through the metro area (Sth side)

IMPACT...THIS IS A LIFE THREATENING SITUATION. YOU COULD BE KILLED IF
NOT UNDERGROUND OR IN A TORNADO SHELTER. COMPLETE
DESTRUCTION OF ENTIRE NEIGHBORHOODS IS LIKELY. MANY WELL
BUILT HOMES AND BUSINESSES WILL BE COMPLETELY SWEPT FROM
THEIR FOUNDATIONS. DEBRIS WILL BLOCK MOST ROADWAYS. MASS
DEVASTATION IS HIGHLY LIKELY MAKING THE AREA UNRECOGNIZABLE
TO SURVIVORS.

http://www.wibw.com/weather

Randolph, Riley, Oldsburg 4.25" hail.

Check out the live feed. They have 3d weather and you can see the funnel cloud under the storm. Really cool technology. This one may have been really strong.

Ugly or pretty...

Todays NOAA/SPC's Forcast...

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 177
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1055 AM CDT SUN APR 15 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

NORTHERN AND WESTERN ARKANSAS
SOUTHERN MISSOURI
EXTREME EASTERN OKLAHOMA

EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1055 AM UNTIL 600
PM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

T
DISCUSSION...A BAND OF THUNDERSTORMS HAS BEEN PROGRESSING SLOWLY EWD
AS CELLS MOVE MORE RAPIDLY NEWD WITHIN THE BAND. SATELLITE IMAGERY
INDICATES AREAS OF THINNING CLOUDS AHEAD OF THE CONVECTION WHICH
WILL PERMIT REGIONS OF ENHANCED HEATING/DESTABILIZATION TO OCCUR
THIS AFTERNOON. LATEST WIND PROFILER AND VAD DATA EXHIBIT VERY
STRONG WINDS /50 KT OR GREATER IN THE 1-2 KM AGL LAYER/ AND
INCREASING WINDS ALOFT...RESULTING IN VERY STRONG SHEAR/SRH THAT
WILL PROMOTE EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS AND OCCASIONAL SMALL SCALE BOW
ECHOES TO DEVELOP. THE THREAT FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND TORNADOES
IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON.