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User Info Your Daily Spain Update. SAVED or not SAVED? in forum [Breaking]
Swingtrader
Posts: 9108
Incept: 2007-08-12
Green
United Oligarchic Goldman Sachs States of America
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Quote:
STD and BBVA both down

You would think santandor had _someone_ on staff that knew STD was a common English/US acronym for Sexually Transmitted Disease before they selected that symbol

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Swing said "Well, it is collapsing as we watch.This is what it looks like." Australian federal judge Jayne Jagot, doing what US judges need to do!
Asimov
Posts: 104008
Incept: 2007-08-26
Gold
East Tennessee Eastern Time
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Yea, after all that's worked so well so far.

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It's justifiably immoral to deal morally with an immoral entity.
If you trade based on what other people say, you will lose money. Especially what I say. I won't be held responsible. Festina lente.
Peterm99
Posts: 4985
Incept: 2009-03-21
Gold
SoCal
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Yeah, selecting STD initially seems pretty dumb, but they dare not change the symbol now due to Truth in Advertising laws.

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". . . the Constitution has died, the economy welters in irreversible decline, we have perpetual war, all power lies in the hands of the executive, the police are supreme, and a surveillance beyond Orwell’s imaginings falls into place." - Fred Reed
Antone
Posts: 7666
Incept: 2008-02-03
Green
Seditionia, USSA
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No false advertising. Touch that stock and you're going to need to see a doctor.

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As if anything has changed:

Wir sind gefickt.
Uppity_peasant
Posts: 3112
Incept: 2009-06-26

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Spain auctions nearly $3.2 billion in debt, demand strong but yields higher amid euro crisis
http://www.washingtonpost.com/business/m....

Spain bond auction sees cost of borrowing rise
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-18099....

Quote:
Spain has paid sharply higher rates of interest to borrow money on the international markets, as worries grow about the state of its economy.

In total, it raised 2.5bn euros ($3.2bn; £2bn) through issuing a number of different types of bonds.

On bonds due to be paid back in January 2015, it had to pay an interest rate of 4.373%, up from 2.89% in April.

On debt maturing in April 2016, Spain had to pay an interest rate of 5.106%, up from 3.374% on 15 March.

"The auctions have gone OK, probably better than the market feared," said Peter Chatwell, interest rate strategist at the French bank, Credit Agricole...


GLOBAL MARKETS: European Stocks Slightly Lower; Spanish Auction Eyed
http://online.wsj.com/article/BT-CO-2012....

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====
If it's true that "assault weapons" are "weapons of war" and don't belong on the streets of America, why do the police need them? Who are the police at war with?
Stonedog
Posts: 2080
Incept: 2008-05-29
Green A True American Patriot!
New Jersey
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"I would characterize my professional disdain as more of a professional contempt for their [Central Banker, Banker and politician] economic and financial policies, priorities, presumptions and prescriptions." - Lauren Lyster on Capital Account for Friday June 16, 2012

"All the stimulus, the bailouts, the quantit
Infidel
Posts: 5463
Incept: 2007-08-27
Green A True American Patriot!
between here and there
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"It was such a promising morning for Spain which sold some €2.5 billion in 2015 and 2016 bonds earlier in yet another meaningless and symbolic LTRO-covered exercise, when things went from bad (bank run, pardon, withdrawal meme) to worse, as local Expansion newspaper says Spanish bank ratings will be downgraded in a few hours"

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/moodys-war....

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"DON'T BELIEVE THEM, DON'T FEAR THEM, DON'T ASK ANYTHING OF THEM." -ALEXANDER SOLZHENITSYN.

Stonedog
Posts: 2080
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Green A True American Patriot!
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Moodys warns it will downgrade 21 Spanish banks - http://www.zerohedge.com/news/moodys-war....

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"I would characterize my professional disdain as more of a professional contempt for their [Central Banker, Banker and politician] economic and financial policies, priorities, presumptions and prescriptions." - Lauren Lyster on Capital Account for Friday June 16, 2012

"All the stimulus, the bailouts, the quantit
Robw
Posts: 837
Incept: 2007-08-10
Silver
Southern California
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SAVED!

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/spanish....

We all know how this ends. Floor has now been removed and soon Spanish banks will learn what the term "no bid" means!

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The laws of mathematics are not suggestions. - K.D.
Jubber
Posts: 14078
Incept: 2007-07-05
Gold
UK
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http://www.marketfolly.com/

On whether Spanish banks are acknowledging their real estate positions:

“No, they are not. In a country with 24% unemployment, they have a 3% provision against their mortgage book…The mortgage book of Ireland has a 10% provision. What is going on in Spain is that 22% of Spanish mortgages have been reworked, half of them more than twice. In other words, there’s evidence that the banks have been evergreening loans. In which case, 7% of it, you have to take another allowance of 7% to get it to Irish levels against 650 billion euros. That’s another 50 billion euros there. And the same is going on in the loans to small and medium enterprises.”


Very good interview, well worth watching, this guy is also on the other side of the JPM trade

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“The problem with socialism is that, sooner or later, you run out of other people’s money.” Thatcher

Anti
Posts: 4294
Incept: 2007-10-09
Silver
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Jubber, that page refreshes, so I searched on Spain there and came on an article with this headline,

Tuesday, May 22, 2012
BlueCrest Capital's Michael Platt on European Crisis & How He's Trading

which is the one I think you mean. Listening now.

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Health is better than health insurance
http://gerson.org/
Over the past 60 years, thousands of people have used the Gerson Therapy to recover from so-called “incurable” diseases such as cancer, diabetes, heart disease and arthritis.

Jubber
Posts: 14078
Incept: 2007-07-05
Gold
UK
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Spain 'Discovers' 28 Billion In Debt

Back in late March, we pointed out - much to the chagrin of the LTRO-funded Spanish-sovereign-debt-stuffing banks of the tapas-nation - that, in a similarly misleading manner to Greece's 'leverage' the debt-to-GDP data for Spain was significantly higher than official estimates. Once sovereign guarantees, contingent liabilities and their responsibilities to the EU and the ECB were included things got a whole lot uglier. Now, slowly but surely, as reported by Reuters this evening, some of these bilateral guarantees/loans are coming to light. Instead of the expected EUR8 billion of 'regional refinancing' expected for 2012, it turns out there is EUR36 billion and as Reuters notes "the difference is due to bilateral loans from Spanish banks to the regions worth 28 billion euros that were not made public previously" adding that "It could unnerve further investors concerned by the capacity of Spain to curb its public finances and reform its banking sector." Critically this stunning 'discovery' should be worrisome since the plan, given the regions are virtually blocked from public market financing - due to the high cost of funds, was/is for the sovereign to guarantee (there's that word again) their issuance explicitly. Ironically, as de Guindos and Hollande are chummy borrow-and-spendaholic growth-seekers versus Merkel's safe-and-austere determination, so now the Spanish authorities must lend exuberantly to their regions while at the same time demanding deficit targets are met (or else?) - or as one Reuters' source objects: "You can't tell them on one side that they have to be austere and on the other side give them unlimited liquidity". Irony indeed.

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/spain-disc....

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“The problem with socialism is that, sooner or later, you run out of other people’s money.” Thatcher
Stonedog
Posts: 2080
Incept: 2008-05-29
Green A True American Patriot!
New Jersey
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http://www.zerohedge.com/news/it-begins-....




Quote:

Yesterday we mocked the fact that the Bankia's bailout costs are doubling with each passing day. Today, things just got "Messi-er":

SPAIN'S CATALONIA REGION NEEDS GOVERNMENT HELP, RUNNING OUT OF DEBT FINANCING OPTIONS-CATALAN PRESIDENT - RTRS

So... if broke Bankia can rehypothecate Ronaldo, can Barcelona demand delivery of Messi and pledge him as ECB collateral too? Or was he nationalized by the government in retaliation for that whole "Argentina" thing?



Quote:

From Reuters:

Spain's wealthiest autonomous region, Catalonia, needs financing help from the central government because it is running out of options for refinancing debt this year, Catalan President Artur Mas said on Friday.

"We don't care how they do it, but we need to make payments at the end of the month. Your economy can't recover if you can't pay your bills," Mas told a group of reporters from foreign media.

The debt burden of Spain's 17 highly devolved regions, and rising bad loans at the country's banks, are both at the heart of the euro zone debt crisis because investors are concerned they could strain finances so much that Spain, the currency bloc's fourth biggest economy, will need an international bailout.

Catalonia, which represents one fifth of the Spanish economy, has more than 13 billion euros in debt to refinance this year, as well as its deficit.

All of the regions together have 36 billion euros ($45 billion) to refinance this year, as well as an authorised deficit of 15 billion euros.

Last year many of the regions financed debt by falling months or even years behind in payments to providers such as street cleaners and hospital equipment suppliers.

This year the central government provided them with a special credit facility from the Official Credit Institute, or ICO, to pay providers, of which Catalonia has taken 2 billion euros.

The provider credit lines from the ICO run out in June and the central government has pledged to come up with a new mechanism for backing debt from the regions, which have been mostly priced out of international debt markets since the Greek rescue in 2010.

Catalonia's Mas, from the centre-right Convergence and Union Party, said he is running out of options. In the past two years Catalonia has placed patriot bonds, at 4.5 percent to 5.0 percent, but he says the capacity for the people of the region to buy such bonds is at its limit.

Aquarter of all Catalan savings are already in patriot bonds, he said.

The other option would be short-term financing from banks, but Catalonia's neighbour, the region of Valencia, recently paid 7 percent for a six-month loan, a level seen as unsustainable.

Catalonia's annual interest payments have already doubled in the last two years, to 2 billion euros this year.


...Oops.

And just because the "perfectly efficient" market completely ignored this news from two days ago:

Back in late March, we pointed out - much to the chagrin of the LTRO-funded Spanish-sovereign-debt-stuffing banks of the tapas-nation - that, in a similarly misleading manner to Greece's 'leverage' the debt-to-GDP data for Spain was significantly higher than official estimates. Once sovereign guarantees, contingent liabilities and their responsibilities to the EU and the ECB were included things got a whole lot uglier. Now, slowly but surely, as reported by Reuters this evening, some of these bilateral guarantees/loans are coming to light. Instead of the expected EUR8 billion of 'regional refinancing' expected for 2012, it turns out there is EUR36 billion and as Reuters notes "the difference is due to bilateral loans from Spanish banks to the regions worth 28 billion euros that were not made public previously" adding that "It could unnerve further investors concerned by the capacity of Spain to curb its public finances and reform its banking sector." Critically this stunning 'discovery' should be worrisome since the plan, given the regions are virtually blocked from public market financing - due to the high cost of funds, was/is for the sovereign to guarantee (there's that word again) their issuance explicitly. Ironically, as de Guindos and Hollande are chummy borrow-and-spendaholic growth-seekers versus Merkel's safe-and-austere determination, so now the Spanish authorities must lend exuberantly to their regions while at the same time demanding deficit targets are met (or else?) - or as one Reuters' source objects: "You can't tell them on one side that they have to be austere and on the other side give them unlimited liquidity". Irony indeed.
Sigh

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"I would characterize my professional disdain as more of a professional contempt for their [Central Banker, Banker and politician] economic and financial policies, priorities, presumptions and prescriptions." - Lauren Lyster on Capital Account for Friday June 16, 2012

"All the stimulus, the bailouts, the quantit
Stonedog
Posts: 2080
Incept: 2008-05-29
Green A True American Patriot!
New Jersey
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Bankia Bailout Costs Rise Again, Now At €19 Billion, €4 Billion Increase Overnight

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/bankia-bai....

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"I would characterize my professional disdain as more of a professional contempt for their [Central Banker, Banker and politician] economic and financial policies, priorities, presumptions and prescriptions." - Lauren Lyster on Capital Account for Friday June 16, 2012

"All the stimulus, the bailouts, the quantit
Zarathustra
Posts: 5960
Incept: 2009-04-29
Silver A True American Patriot!
Funkytown
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Cue that beautiful monkey...................

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"And in knowing that you know nothing, that makes you the smartest of all." - Socrates
Argos
Posts: 6330
Incept: 2008-03-23
Gold
The Green Mountain State
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From BB Radio:

S&P cuts ratings on five Spanish banks, and affirms ratings on nine.

Business Insider coverage:

http://www.businessinsider.com/sp-slashe....

Reason: add link
Etz
Posts: 13890
Incept: 2007-06-26
Silver
LA
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The government insists that Bankia's woes do not reflect the wider financial system in Spain

It is largely contained then.

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Legal chicanery and beneficent darkness are the banker's stoutest allies - F.Pecora.

Zarathustra
Posts: 5960
Incept: 2009-04-29
Silver A True American Patriot!
Funkytown
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From 15-billion to 24-billion in 24-hours. Bullish, friends...

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"And in knowing that you know nothing, that makes you the smartest of all." - Socrates
Rvacha
Posts: 8295
Incept: 2008-10-03
Gold
Cleveland
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More Bankia detail here
http://mobile.bloomberg.com/news/2012-05....

But my favorite line is this
Quote:
De Guindos told parliament on May 23 that Spain would provide as much public money as necessary for the Bankia group as he said it was a “specific case,” without any read-across for the rest of the industry.

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"I suggest you panic." - Hugh Hendry
Jstanley01
Posts: 8182
Incept: 2008-07-30
Silver A True American Patriot!
San Antonio, Texas
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Quote:
Spain's Bankia treats $29B state aid as investment
by HAROLD HECKLE, Associated Press – 8 hours ago

MADRID (AP) — Troubled Spanish lender Bankia will treat the €23.5 billion ($29.5 billion) in state aid it will receive in the country's biggest-ever bank bailout as an investment meant to make a profit for the Spanish government and not as a loan, its president said Sunday.

Jose Ignacio Goirigolzarri appeared to be trying to reassure markets after the Spanish media questioned what he had meant by saying a day earlier: "We don't need to talk about giving any of it back."

In a statement Sunday, he said Bankia's obligation is "not to return that capital but to be able to generate value and profitability for that contribution"...

http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/arti....
What???

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You can't cheat an honest man. ~P.T. Barnum
If
Posts: 1193
Incept: 2008-01-06
Green
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OMG, can you believe this crap? Will the people of Spain stand for this?

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I finally took the red pill. I have a lot of catching up to do. Please excuse my ignorance.
Preidt2
Posts: 552
Incept: 2009-07-31
Green
spokane/wash
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more debt more debt more debt insane stupids

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Puppets Under Destruction
Stonedog
Posts: 2080
Incept: 2008-05-29
Green A True American Patriot!
New Jersey
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Well, at least SOMEBODY in the media is questioning the BANKIA bailout -

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-18234....

Quote:
And what of the Spanish government's supposedly bold plan to inject 19bn euros of new capital into Bankia, the country's largest pure retail bank, laid low by reckless property lending? Well there is a wonderful story about this in the Financial Times, which - if you are a geek like me - will either make you laugh or cry.

What the FT says is that the financially challenged Spanish government is a bit worried about raising the 19bn euros by selling government bonds in the normal way - because, as probably hasn't escaped your notice, investors have become more wary of lending to Spain, and its borrowing costs have therefore risen very sharply (the implied interest rate on 10-year loans to Spain was 6.4% this morning).

So rather than borrow the 19bn euros from third-party investors in the normal way, the Spanish government wants to give Bankia 19bn euros of its bonds in return for a majority stake in the bank - or so the FT says.

Now you might think this would be a very odd way to restore confidence in either the finances of an important bank or of a rather important eurozone government: one load of government IOUs of questionable intrinsic value would be swapped for a dubious right to future profits in a bank whose foundations have been crumbling.

On the face of it, what would be transpiring is only a little bit better than two individuals on the verge of bankruptcy promising to honour each other's debts.

But it is a bit better than that, because of the magnificent rules of central banking. The point is that Bankia can take those 19bn euros of Spanish government bonds and swap them for cash at the European Central Bank.

Hey presto, as if by magic, problem solved: Bankia would have billions in new capital and cash.

Except that if Bankia has really been strengthened by this financial engineering, then there would have to be a very significant transfer of risk to the European Central Bank - and therefore, by implication, to its shareholders, or the other central banks and taxpayers of the eurozone.

However, the European Central Bank, under its statutes, is not supposed to take that kind of risk. And, on the basis of recent history, it is fair to assume that the Bundesbank and many Germans would go bonkers if they thought they were really being forced to bail out a bank that bankrupted itself by rampant speculation on land and property.

So presumably, if the deal is allowed to proceed, the ECB will ensure that all the risk actually remains with Bankia and the Spanish government - and therefore with Spanish taxpayers - by imposing a massive discount (or haircut) on the amount of cash it would exchange for the bonds.

Which means that the deal may turn out to be too clever by half.

If it creates the perception among Spain's creditors that the Spanish government has secretly recognised that it cannot afford the true costs of strengthening Spain's banks, Spain will find it even harder to borrow. So the backdoor bailout of Bankia could actually hasten the day when Spain asks its EU partners for a bailout.

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"I would characterize my professional disdain as more of a professional contempt for their [Central Banker, Banker and politician] economic and financial policies, priorities, presumptions and prescriptions." - Lauren Lyster on Capital Account for Friday June 16, 2012

"All the stimulus, the bailouts, the quantit

Reason: Add letter
Stonedog
Posts: 2080
Incept: 2008-05-29
Green A True American Patriot!
New Jersey
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AEP - Europe's Maquina Infernal has crippled Spain
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/comme....

Quote:
The country’s collapse is the mathematically certain - and widely predicted - result of ferocious monetary and fiscal contraction on an economy struggling to deal with a housing bust.

Monetary tightening by the European Central Bank caused Spanish real M1 deposits to fall at an 8pc rate in mid-to-late 2011, guaranteeing the crash into double-dip recession that we now see.

Indeed, the ECB even let the broader M3 money supply contract for the whole eurozone late last year, badly breaching its own 4.5pc growth target. This was not purist hard-money discipline. Let us not dress it up with the bunting of ideology, or false authority. It was incompetence, on a par with the errors of 1931.

Spain’s Bankia fiasco has merely brought matters to head, though the details are shocking enough. A €4bn bail-out in mid-May. A €23bn bail-out two weeks later. You couldn’t make it up.

Investors have noticed that Deloitte exposed the rot, not the regulators. Bankia is the creation of the ruling Partido Popular, thrown together from regional cajas under its control. It was a sink for €30bn of bad debts from property developers, an instrument to "extend and pretend", to cover up the systemic awfulness of the housing crash.

Clean-up chief José Ignacio Goirigolzarri says Bankia is unique. The debacle tells us nothing about the rest of the Spanish banking system. Let us hope so. Standard & Poor’s is not waiting to find out. The agency downgraded five banks to junk. It raised its alert on Spanish macro-imbalances to “very high risk”.
Edward Hugh from Spain Economy Watch says Spanish banks have made €2 trillion of loans from a deposit base of €1.2 trillion, a sobering figure for lenders largely shut out of global capital markets.

The Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS) thinks Spanish banks will need to write off €270bn, implying “Irish” damage to Spain’s debt trajectory. If CEPS is right, public debt could jump towards 110pc in short-order.

For now the ECB is holding the line with its three-year lending blitz. Spanish banks have taken up €316bn, allowing them to avert disaster as their debts comes due. But there are toxic side-effects. Banks must provide collateral at a steep haircut, “subordinating” other creditors - that Ebola virus infecting EU rescue schemes.

Spanish banks are parking the ECB money in Spanish bonds for the time being, a costly form of patriotism. The latest spike in yields has devalued their holdings, leaving them nursing a big loss.

There is another insidious effect. As the banks buy the bonds, foreigners sell. External holdings of Spanish debt fell from 50pc to 37pc between December and March. This does at least mean that much of the rising cost of debt payment is recycled within the Spanish economy, limiting the macro-damage. But it also makes it easier for Spain to leave the euro. Investors have noticed this, too. The eurozone is disintegrating.

As for the Spanish economy, it is literally imploding. The budget deficit was 8.9pc of GDP last year, barely down from 9.3pc in 2010. We now learn that the regions have flattered their accounts by failing to pay suppliers €17bn. Valencia is 765 days late on bills, mostly to pharmaceutical companies and healthcare services. The debt of the regions has reached €135bn, or 12.6pc of GDP, chiefly because they look after the elderly and bear the brunt of Spain’s demographic burden.

Catalan chief Artur Mas tossed nitroglycerine into the mix last week by warning that his fiefdom would run out of money by the end of the month. Skittish markets have little feel for the game of brinkmanship between Barcelona and Madrid. They don’t know that rich Catalans keep Spain afloat, not the other way round. His mischievous comments pushed the 10-year yield spread over German Bunds to a post-EMU record of 496 basis points.

Yet at the end of the day, such unforced errors are details. Spain is prostrate because EMU policy settings have been ruinous for most of the past decade. Interest rates in the mid-2000s were far too low for the needs of a dynamic catch-up economy. Real rates were -2pc for year after year. That is, 750,000 homes were built in 2007 for an annual market of 250,000.

The Bank of Spain tried in vain to check the flood of cheap capital from North Europe. Madrid ran a primary surplus of 3pc of GDP in 2007. Public debt fell to 42pc (Germany was 65pc at the time). Yes, Spain could have done more. It could have adopted Hong Kong controls on loan-to-value ratios on mortgages - 80pc, 70pc, 60pc, etc, until you choke the boom - but that is not what the EU or ECB said at the time. The EU Council gave Spain three gold stars and commendation that year, saying its “budgetary strategy provides a good example of fiscal policies”. Honeyed words, even as intoxicating credit was reaching red alarm levels.

Europe’s Maquina Infernal has since switched tack, inflicting slow deflation instead. The ECB - not content with monetary blunders alone - has become the enforcer of a pro-cyclical fiscal blunders as well. It told Spain and Italy to slash spending as the quid pro quo for bond rescues last summer. Spain complied. Italy’s Silvio Berlusconi demurred, understandably since Italy was already near primary budget surplus. He was summarily toppled.

The damage from this double-barrelled contractionary shock on a fragile Spanish economy is before our eyes, conforming with precision to textbook time-lag theories. Private sector credit has fallen for 18 consecutive months. Industrial output fell 7.5pc in March. Brussels expects the economy to shrink 1.9pc this year, with the crunch yet to come.

Unemployment has reached 24.4pc, or 32pc in Extremadura. More than 1.5m households have no earner at all. They have exhausted their benefits, surviving on savings and - for now - on €420 a month in back-stop support.
Faced with such woes, any sovereign country would call for full engine reverse with every policy lever. The Faustian Pact of EMU allows no such escape. Europe has ordered premier Mariano Rajoy to cut the budget deficit from 8.9pc to 5.3pc in a single year, four times the therapeutic pace.

He cannot devalue. He cannot cut rates or print money. He cannot mobilize a lender of last resort to eliminate all risk of sovereign default. He can only lament. "Europe has to come up with an answer because we can't go on like this for long," he said.

It is hard to imagine Isabela I using such language; or Juan Cortes, who brought down the Aztec Empire with a few hidalgos by sheer grit and astucia. Yet Mr Rajoy’s words are prickly. My ear catches a threat, though I may be guilty of romanticizing the "levantamiento" against foreign insolence in 1808.
There is, of course, a hint of revolution in Europe’s air. A Latin Bloc has come to life. Germany is on the back foot. Yet are the rebels willing to use majority control over the ECB to force an immediate and transforming shift in policy, against German protest? Will they risk a German withdrawal from monetary union?

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"I would characterize my professional disdain as more of a professional contempt for their [Central Banker, Banker and politician] economic and financial policies, priorities, presumptions and prescriptions." - Lauren Lyster on Capital Account for Friday June 16, 2012

"All the stimulus, the bailouts, the quantit
Rvacha
Posts: 8295
Incept: 2008-10-03
Gold
Cleveland
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I have a feeling that the ECB (and Germany) are going to go nuclear on this one. Not only is it sleazy the "bonds out of thin air" represent 25% of Spanish GDP - how do you not call this direct intervention in the sovereign?

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"I suggest you panic." - Hugh Hendry
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