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MarketTicker Forums Read Message in NotSoBreaking
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User Info 6/20 Fed - ALL GOES HERE in forum [NotSoBreaking]
Drench
Posts: 28631
Incept: 2009-11-10
Green
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Interest rate decision and Ben has an afternoon presser. I'll miss it but here's a thread.
Genesis
Posts: 130747
Incept: 2007-06-26
Admin A True American Patriot!
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Pinned.

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I don't care if it makes sense -- only if it makes money. -- Me
Bank (n): See scam, fraud and theft. Eat a bankster -- they're low-carb.
What part of "shall not be infringed" was unclear?
Murf
Posts: 4486
Incept: 2007-08-28
Green
MurfCon Warning Level: Arrogance II
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For the first time in my memory I don't have a WAG (usually wrong anyway) about what the Fed has in store. I have read everything from "twist ends and no new programs," to "ongoing, never-ending flow of bond buying."
smiley

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The money has already been lost. Someone has to book it.
Jubber
Posts: 14078
Incept: 2007-07-05
Gold
UK
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Gold has been back below $1600 most of the day and falling all week, did someone get the real memo? Central Bank selling?

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“The problem with socialism is that, sooner or later, you run out of other people’s money.” Thatcher
Landshark
Posts: 11275
Incept: 2008-02-07
Silver
The Wild West
Online
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I'll take a stab at it. Nothing. Not yet, anyway. This is the last round they have in the chamber. They're going to save it until they absolutely need it.

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Success in life is a matter not so much of talent and opportunity as of concentration and perseverance.

– C. W. Wendte
Asimov
Posts: 104010
Incept: 2007-08-26
Gold
East Tennessee Eastern Time
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Jubber: A good bit of the selling the last few days has been euro based. I have no clue why, unless it's banks dumping it for cash.

Top chart white line is inverted /GC.
Bottom chart orange line is price of gold in euros, dashed white line is eur/usd inverted.

Basically, if the orange line is tracking and the white line on the top chart is not, the price of gold is being "controlled" by buying/selling in euros. If the solid white line on the top chart matches, gold's price is mainly being "controlled" by buying/selling in the usd.

Should be pretty obvious which has been in control recently... The "why" is a different matter though..
Inline

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It's justifiably immoral to deal morally with an immoral entity.
If you trade based on what other people say, you will lose money. Especially what I say. I won't be held responsible. Festina lente.
Pietertvl
Posts: 3591
Incept: 2007-12-05

NFA
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Decently handicapping it in some detail:

http://ftalphaville.ft.com/blog/2012/06/....


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"All the perplexities, confusion and distresses in America arise not from defects in the constitution or confederation, nor from want of honor or virtue, as much from downright ignorance of the nature of coin, credit, and circulation." ~ John Adams
Argos
Posts: 6330
Incept: 2008-03-23
Gold
The Green Mountain State
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http://federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pre....

Quote:
Press Release

Release Date: June 20, 2012

For immediate release

Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in April suggests that the economy has been expanding moderately this year. However, growth in employment has slowed in recent months, and the unemployment rate remains elevated. Business fixed investment has continued to advance. Household spending appears to be rising at a somewhat slower pace than earlier in the year. Despite some signs of improvement, the housing sector remains depressed. Inflation has declined, mainly reflecting lower prices of crude oil and gasoline, and longer-term inflation expectations have remained stable.

Consistent with its statutory mandate, the Committee seeks to foster maximum employment and price stability. The Committee expects economic growth to remain moderate over coming quarters and then to pick up very gradually. Consequently, the Committee anticipates that the unemployment rate will decline only slowly toward levels that it judges to be consistent with its dual mandate. Furthermore, strains in global financial markets continue to pose significant downside risks to the economic outlook. The Committee anticipates that inflation over the medium term will run at or below the rate that it judges most consistent with its dual mandate.

To support a stronger economic recovery and to help ensure that inflation, over time, is at the rate most consistent with its dual mandate, the Committee expects to maintain a highly accommodative stance for monetary policy. In particular, the Committee decided today to keep the target range for the federal funds rate at 0 to 1/4 percent and currently anticipates that economic conditions--including low rates of resource utilization and a subdued outlook for inflation over the medium run--are likely to warrant exceptionally low levels for the federal funds rate at least through late 2014.

The Committee also decided to continue through the end of the year its program to extend the average maturity of its holdings of securities. Specifically, the Committee intends to purchase Treasury securities with remaining maturities of 6 years to 30 years at the current pace and to sell or redeem an equal amount of Treasury securities with remaining maturities of approximately 3 years or less. This continuation of the maturity extension program should put downward pressure on longer-term interest rates and help to make broader financial conditions more accommodative. The Committee is maintaining its existing policy of reinvesting principal payments from its holdings of agency debt and agency mortgage-backed securities in agency mortgage-backed securities. The Committee is prepared to take further action as appropriate to promote a stronger economic recovery and sustained improvement in labor market conditions in a context of price stability.

Voting for the FOMC monetary policy action were: Ben S. Bernanke, Chairman; William C. Dudley, Vice Chairman; Elizabeth A. Duke; Dennis P. Lockhart; Sandra Pianalto; Jerome H. Powell; Sarah Bloom Raskin; Jeremy C. Stein; Daniel K. Tarullo; John C. Williams; and Janet L. Yellen. Voting against the action was Jeffrey M. Lacker, who opposed continuation of the maturity extension program.

Argos
Posts: 6330
Incept: 2008-03-23
Gold
The Green Mountain State
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If I didn't know better I'd say that equities would be tanking right about now if it wasn't for the Chairman's press conference hanging over it.

Still, Liesman better be at the top of his game. :)
Robw
Posts: 837
Incept: 2007-08-10
Silver
Southern California
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Is that it? What happened to 2:15 eastern time?

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The laws of mathematics are not suggestions. - K.D.
Mayorquimby
Posts: 13909
Incept: 2008-09-18
Green
The Archaic Past
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My 2 cents: Small twist extension, removal of 2014 language, no asset purchases.

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They who wish to hurt you, work within the law.
- Morrissey

Gold is theft.
Robw
Posts: 837
Incept: 2007-08-10
Silver
Southern California
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And no change to the treasury maturity for sale? I thought they were going to be out of 3 year and less by the end of the month.

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The laws of mathematics are not suggestions. - K.D.
Hogman
Posts: 7874
Incept: 2008-02-18
Green
Derby City, USA
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ZH comparison of FED statements

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/fed-extend....
Hogman
Posts: 7874
Incept: 2008-02-18
Green
Derby City, USA
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ZH chart of /ES after last statement

http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/f....
Pooslinger
Posts: 4390
Incept: 2007-11-06
Gold
Illinois
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How lovely... Benny has our backs, sweet!! smiley
Argos
Posts: 6330
Incept: 2008-03-23
Gold
The Green Mountain State
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bilge

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