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User Info	2012 Issac in forum [RagingEarth]
Landshark Posts: 11338 Incept: 2008-02-07 The Wild West	---------- Success in life is a matter not so much of talent and opportunity as of concentration and perseverance. – C. W. Wendte 2012-08-22 15:04:15 Permalink
Mrbill Posts: 7857 Incept: 2008-10-19 North Carolina	Are those temps normal for this time of year? 2012-08-22 15:04:49 Permalink
Avianphlu Posts: 3982 Incept: 2008-12-03 Ulster NY	that is a great graphic on water temperature...wow will go right into the thick of things...tick tock 2012-08-22 15:05:14 Permalink
Landshark Posts: 11338 Incept: 2008-02-07 The Wild West	Mrbill, if memory serves, the GOM looks to be a bit warmer than average. Karl would probably know. ---------- Success in life is a matter not so much of talent and opportunity as of concentration and perseverance. – C. W. Wendte 2012-08-22 15:07:56 Permalink
Landshark Posts: 11338 Incept: 2008-02-07 The Wild West	Ulster, yep... that there is a lot of potential energy. ---------- Success in life is a matter not so much of talent and opportunity as of concentration and perseverance. – C. W. Wendte 2012-08-22 15:08:30 Permalink
Landshark Posts: 11338 Incept: 2008-02-07 The Wild West	12Z Euro trends just a tad east of the previous run - raking Cuba up the spine, and then bombing out in the GOM, Thursday landfall at NOLA. ---------- Success in life is a matter not so much of talent and opportunity as of concentration and perseverance. – C. W. Wendte 2012-08-22 15:35:49 Permalink
Landshark Posts: 11338 Incept: 2008-02-07 The Wild West	Lower convergence suggests the center may be relocating to the southeast a bit... if that's the case, that Euro solution is looking more and more likely... ---------- Success in life is a matter not so much of talent and opportunity as of concentration and perseverance. – C. W. Wendte 2012-08-22 15:46:23 Permalink
Dakine2004 Posts: 9232 Incept: 2007-10-23 MD.MI.NC.SD.	Oops.. 2012-08-22 16:23:44 Permalink
Landshark Posts: 11338 Incept: 2008-02-07 The Wild West	Ya think? ---------- Success in life is a matter not so much of talent and opportunity as of concentration and perseverance. – C. W. Wendte 2012-08-22 16:36:13 Permalink
Landshark Posts: 11338 Incept: 2008-02-07 The Wild West	NHC confirms the center has relocated. TROPICAL STORM ISAAC DISCUSSION NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092012 500 PM AST WED AUG 22 2012 SATELLITE...AIRCRAFT...RADAR...AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT ISAAC HAS A BROAD CENTRAL AREA OF LIGHT WINDS WITH MULTIPLE VORTICITY MAXIMA EMBEDDED. THE LOWEST PRESSURES ARE IN AN AREA NEAR GUADELOUPE...WHICH IS USED AS THE CURRENT CENTER SINCE IT HAS SOME CONTINUITY WITH THE CENTER PREVIOUSLY BEING TRACKED. HOWEVER...THE MEAN CENTER IS LIKELY TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE ADVISORY POSITION. SOME ADJUSTMENT OF THE CENTER POSITION MAY BE NECESSARY WHEN THE CENTRAL CORE AGAIN CONSOLIDATES. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS HELD AT 40 KT...ALTHOUGH THE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT DATA SUGGESTS THIS COULD BE GENEROUS. THE INITIAL MOTION IS NOW A SOMEWHAT UNCERTAIN 280/19. OTHER THAN THE CENTER POSITION ISSUES...THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST REASONING DURING THE FIRST 48 HR OF THE TRACK FORECAST. THE EAST-WEST ORIENTED SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF ISAAC ALONG 30N LATITUDE IS FORECAST BY ALL OF THE GLOBAL MODELS TO REMAIN INTACT ACROSS FLORIDA AND THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. DURING THAT TIME. THIS EARLY PART OF THE FORECAST TRACK IS SHIFTED A LITTLE TO THE SOUTH OF THE PREVIOUS FORECAST BASED ON THE OBSERVED POSITION AND MOTION. AFTER 48 HR...THE RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS A MID/UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH MOVES ONTO THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THE GLOBAL MODELS HAVE COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT SINCE THE LAST ADVISORY...WITH THE NOGAPS AND CANADIAN MODELS SHIFTING TO THE WEST AND THE ECMWF TO THE NORTH. HOWEVER...THE ECMWF CONTINUES TO SHOW A STRONGER RIDGE...AND THUS SHOWS A MORE WESTERLY MOTION THAN THE OTHER MODELS. THE 72-120 HR PORTION OF THE FORECAST TRACK IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST AND LIES NEAR THE CONSENSUS MODELS. THERE REMAINS CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY AS TO WHICH PORTIONS OF FLORIDA...IF ANY...COULD BE AFFECTED BY ISAAC. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND MICROWAVE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER DATA CONTINUE TO SHOW DRY AIR TO THE NORTHEAST OF ISAAC...AND A LACK OF CONVECTION IN THIS AREA SUGGESTS SOME OF THIS AIR IS ENTRAINING INTO THE CYCLONE AND DISRUPTING THE CONVECTIVE STRUCTURE. GIVEN THE CURRENT STRUCTURE...THE NEW INTENSITY FORECAST CALLS FOR LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH FOR THE NEXT 12 HR...FOLLOWED BY INTENSIFICATION INTO A HURRICANE BY 48 HR SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. AFTER 48 HR...THE MAIN FACTOR CONTROLLING THE INTENSITY IS THE AMOUNT OF LAND INTERACTION. THIS LOW-CONFIDENCE PART OF THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY BUT ABOVE THE INTENSITY CONSENSUS. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 22/2100Z 16.0N 61.2W 40 KT 45 MPH 12H 23/0600Z 16.3N 63.6W 40 KT 45 MPH 24H 23/1800Z 16.7N 66.7W 50 KT 60 MPH 36H 24/0600Z 17.2N 69.4W 60 KT 70 MPH 48H 24/1800Z 17.9N 71.6W 70 KT 80 MPH...INLAND 72H 25/1800Z 20.5N 75.5W 60 KT 70 MPH...INLAND 96H 26/1800Z 23.5N 79.5W 60 KT 70 MPH...OVER WATER 120H 27/1800Z 26.5N 82.5W 70 KT 80 MPH ---------- Success in life is a matter not so much of talent and opportunity as of concentration and perseverance. – C. W. Wendte 2012-08-22 16:47:02 Permalink
Landshark Posts: 11338 Incept: 2008-02-07 The Wild West	Latest cone: ---------- Success in life is a matter not so much of talent and opportunity as of concentration and perseverance. – C. W. Wendte 2012-08-22 16:51:15 Permalink
Genesis Posts: 130807 Incept: 2007-06-26	Bullseye! ---------- I don't care* if it makes sense -- only if it makes money. -- Me* Bank (n): See scam, fraud and theft. *Eat a bankster -- they're low-carb.* *What part of "shall not be infringed" was unclear?* 2012-08-22 17:08:33 Permalink
Landshark Posts: 11338 Incept: 2008-02-07 The Wild West	Yep! ---------- Success in life is a matter not so much of talent and opportunity as of concentration and perseverance. – C. W. Wendte 2012-08-22 17:10:34 Permalink
Steph4liberty Posts: 1685 Incept: 2010-10-22 Raleigh, NC	You couldn't get it better even if you'd planned it yourself. You don't happen to have a HAARP machine in your basement, do you Karl? ---------- "Man will never be free until the last Banker is strangled with the entrails of the last Politician" - unknown "This isn't a market anymore, it's a computer game." - Drench 2012-08-22 17:16:39 Permalink
Genesis Posts: 130807 Incept: 2007-06-26	Naw, I just get out my Ouija board ---------- I don't care* if it makes sense -- only if it makes money. -- Me* Bank (n): See scam, fraud and theft. *Eat a bankster -- they're low-carb.* *What part of "shall not be infringed" was unclear?* 2012-08-22 17:18:55 Permalink
1crzydmnd Posts: 2377 Incept: 2008-03-26 Bizarro World	If so, can we get another one for the DNC convention? ---------- I'm not a racist. The black and white halves of Obama equally disgust me. 2012-08-22 17:19:58 Permalink
Genesis Posts: 130807 Incept: 2007-06-26	I'll get right on that.... ---------- I don't care* if it makes sense -- only if it makes money. -- Me* Bank (n): See scam, fraud and theft. *Eat a bankster -- they're low-carb.* *What part of "shall not be infringed" was unclear?* 2012-08-22 17:20:43 Permalink
Steph4liberty Posts: 1685 Incept: 2010-10-22 Raleigh, NC	I second 1crzy's motion. ---------- "Man will never be free until the last Banker is strangled with the entrails of the last Politician" - unknown "This isn't a market anymore, it's a computer game." - Drench 2012-08-22 17:21:45 Permalink
Landshark Posts: 11338 Incept: 2008-02-07 The Wild West	You know the RNC is ***ting a Volkswagen right now... ---------- Success in life is a matter not so much of talent and opportunity as of concentration and perseverance. – C. W. Wendte 2012-08-22 17:23:43 Permalink*
Genesis Posts: 130807 Incept: 2007-06-26	I happen to have one of those, and the back end is really, really wide and should stretch the sphincter on the way out quite nicely. ---------- I don't care* if it makes sense -- only if it makes money. -- Me* Bank (n): See scam, fraud and theft. *Eat a bankster -- they're low-carb.* *What part of "shall not be infringed" was unclear?* 2012-08-22 17:26:23 Permalink
Nomorespin Posts: 1497 Incept: 2007-07-17	This is the best thread ever. 2012-08-22 17:26:38 From PDA Permalink
Landshark Posts: 11338 Incept: 2008-02-07 The Wild West	Ha! TAMPA MAYOR: 'Absolutely prepared' to call off convention... http://tampa.cbslocal.com/2012/08/22/may.... ---------- Success in life is a matter not so much of talent and opportunity as of concentration and perseverance. – C. W. Wendte 2012-08-22 17:26:56 Permalink
Landshark Posts: 11338 Incept: 2008-02-07 The Wild West	---------- Success in life is a matter not so much of talent and opportunity as of concentration and perseverance. – C. W. Wendte 2012-08-22 17:30:01 Permalink
Genesis Posts: 130807 Incept: 2007-06-26	Just a wee nudge to the right please.... ---------- I don't care* if it makes sense -- only if it makes money. -- Me* Bank (n): See scam, fraud and theft. *Eat a bankster -- they're low-carb.* *What part of "shall not be infringed" was unclear?* 2012-08-22 17:30:56 Permalink
Avianphlu Posts: 3982 Incept: 2008-12-03 Ulster NY	yeah, but will Joe Biden 2012-08-22 17:30:57 Permalink

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