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User Info WaMu bankruptcy odds.; entered at 2007-12-02 01:32:28
Mtgspy
Posts: 6202
Registered: 2007-10-27
The real 1-yr horizon trade on wamu is buy protection and long stock.
The bond guys are behind this time because lack of mortgage knowledge- the surprise later will take the spread 4 digits up, but the stock wont go BK due to Etrade-style takeover by someone with money in there - guess it from the HDS screen in BB. The odds on that trade are -30% at worst through +300% at best.
2007-12-02 01:32:28