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User Info Paulsen Works With Industry on Loan Plan; entered at 2007-12-01 11:07:36
Aztrader
Posts: 6138
Registered: 2007-09-10 Scottsdale, AZ
All this freeze does is delay the defaults. They haven't talked about who would qualify, but by including people with interest only loans, they are just doing this to give the bond portfolios a new "phony value". They will claim that the default rates have dropped and payments are being made, so the bond portfolio is really worth par vs. the ABX value of maybe 50 cents on the dollar. It would help the banks and lenders to dump this crap on more unsuspecting investors who will then inherit the default when it happens.

If we look at the current crisis whereas the money markets (commercial paper) is locked up because the banks don't trust each other, what will change this if the freeze lasts only two years. It's like buying a 10 year bond rated AAA, knowing that after two years, your default risk becomes substantial and the rating drops to D. Who would buy it? Only a complete fool or maybe Cramer.
2007-12-01 11:07:36