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MarketTicker Forums Read Message in NotSoBreakingPrice
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User Info Spreads and more in forum [NotSoBreakingPrice]
Icelander
Posts: 58
Incept: 2009-01-22

Iceland
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France-Germany 10 year spread at a new high, 190 bps (up almost 30 bps today) and so is their 5 year CDS spread, at around 230 bps.

http://www.bloomberg.com/quote/!FRAGER10....

http://www.bloomberg.com/quote/CFRTR1U5:....

So is the Spain-Germany 10 year spread and 5 year CDS spread, at 455 bps and 485 bps respectively.

http://www.bloomberg.com/quote/!SPAGER10....

http://www.bloomberg.com/quote/CSPA1U5:I....

And also the Belgium-Germany 10 year spread and 5 year CDS spread, 313 bps and 355 bps respectively.

http://www.bloomberg.com/quote/!BELGER10....

http://www.bloomberg.com/quote/CBELG1U5:....

Austria´s 5 year CDS spread is also near all time high.

http://www.bloomberg.com/quote/CAUT1U5:I....

Hungary´s 5 year CDS spread is also near ATH, at 610 (was around 630 in March 2009).

http://www.bloomberg.com/quote/CHUN1U5:I....

Also the Hungarian forint is near all time low against the Euro (ATL is little below 320, is now at around 315).

The market is helding up quite well considering what´s going on with the European sovereigns. You would think the market would be down more when it seems that everything is falling apart in Europe.

Also, Euro BTP futures near days low (and the yield near day´s high, around 7,05%)

(Note that the Bloomberg charts and CDS quotes are delayed one day)

Pika-steph
Posts: 54705
Incept: 2007-09-11
Gold A True American Patriot!
Live Free Or Die; US Army Est. 1775
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Thanks Icelander. What is going on over there in Iceland?

http://market-ticker.org/akcs-www?post=1....

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Stop the Looting; Start Prosecuting - http://www.FedUpUSA.org/
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"The only regulation that really works is failure."--Rick Santelli
The_venerable
Posts: 4864
Incept: 2009-01-31

USD = toxic asset
Banned
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Just look at France -- it's all about France now.
2YR move from 1% to 1.8% in a week.

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The kingdom is falling.

Argos
Posts: 6315
Incept: 2008-03-23
Gold
The Green Mountain State
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http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-11-15....

Partial quote:

Quote:
European Union lawmakers backed a proposed short-selling law that paves the way for an optional ban on naked credit- default swaps tied to sovereign debt. The legislation, which would also curb so-called naked short selling of stocks and government bonds, was approved by the European Parliament at a meeting in Strasbourg, France, today. A CDS traded is considered “naked” when an investor buys the swap without being at risk of suffering losses from a default.


BB attributes the equity rally to this news item, as well as to other factors (such as comments from Blankfein, Monti, and Evans; and econ data).
Robw
Posts: 837
Incept: 2007-08-10
Silver
Southern California
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Thanks Argos. Sounds like a controlled burn. Burn the "speculators" in hopes that it won't trigger the TBTF nuke, thus buying some more time so that the ponzi scheme can continue.

So how exactly do they expect to unwind this?

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The laws of mathematics are not suggestions. - K.D.

Reason: added question
Jubber
Posts: 14020
Incept: 2007-07-05
Gold
UK
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Can't argue with Naked shorts being banned, should of been done (I thought it was ) years ago.

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“The problem with socialism is that, sooner or later, you run out of other people’s money.” Thatcher
Robw
Posts: 837
Incept: 2007-08-10
Silver
Southern California
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Sure, but the $2 quadrillion question is: how much of the CDS market on sovereign debt is currently naked?

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The laws of mathematics are not suggestions. - K.D.
Early_retirement
Posts: 3610
Incept: 2007-06-26
Gold
Burlington, Vermont
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Who cares, they won't ever declare a sovereign default involuntary. Who would buy CDS after Greece?

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"You cannot legislate the poor into prosperity by legislating the wealthy out of prosperity. What one person receives without working for, another person must work for without receiving. The government cannot give to anybody anything that the government does not first take from somebody else."
Robw
Posts: 837
Incept: 2007-08-10
Silver
Southern California
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That is my point! If no one buys, then what happens to CDS prices? If there is a LOT of selling and no buying, then more selling results. Regardless, sellers will have to writedown losses. That is why I am interested in understanding just how much of the CDS market on sovereign debt is naked.

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The laws of mathematics are not suggestions. - K.D.
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