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User Info 2010: Danielle in forum [RagingEarth] Item is Locked
Bezzle
Posts: 15043
Incept: 2009-08-02
Green

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Parked right over the Gulf Stream and slowing sinking due south.

http://aviationweather.gov/adds/satellit....
Inline

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El Sock-Puppeto exposed and killed by Tickerguy
Crossthread
Posts: 4550
Incept: 2007-09-04
Green
Wilmington, NC
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Hmmmm Bezzel, A "homebrew" storm right off MY coast, how could I missed that?
They usually don't happen until very late in the season....
Plus, We've got plenty of SW "shear", doubt anything comes of it..
Let me go check My weather forum for info....

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“Cognitive Co-Dependency” is when a normal rational person, internalizes irrational illogical presentations, and somehow reconciles them to fit their scripted indoctrination of logical analysis.
Quote:
Samuel L. Clemens:There is NO Native Criminal Class; EXCEPT for CONgress
Drench
Posts: 28631
Incept: 2009-11-10
Green
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Quote:
ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT FRI AUG 6 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM COLIN...LOCATED ABOUT 280 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF BERMUDA.

1. A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC IS
ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW PRESSURE LOCATED A LITTLE MORE THAN 700
MILES WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF THIS
SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

2. ALTHOUGH THE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE
NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE IS
SHOWING SOME ORGANIZATION ON SATELLITE...PRESSURES ARE NOT FALLING
AND THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF A DEVELOPING SURFACE CIRCULATION. THIS
SYSTEM COULD GAIN SOME ADDITIONAL ORGANIZATION BEFORE MOVING OVER
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND BELIZE ON SATURDAY. THERE IS A LOW
CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA
NNNN
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_atl.shtml
Bezzle
Posts: 15043
Incept: 2009-08-02
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http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/f....

One of the two systems likeliest to become Danielle are on the right. The one in the lower-right corner is particularly vigorous with an already apparent 700mb circulation and strong surface convergence.

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El Sock-Puppeto exposed and killed by Tickerguy
Drench
Posts: 28631
Incept: 2009-11-10
Green
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Quote:
ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SUN AUG 8 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON RECENTLY
DOWNGRADED TROPICAL DEPRESSION COLIN...LOCATED ABOUT 45 MILES WEST
OF BERMUDA.

1. A LOW PRESSURE AREA LOCATED ABOUT 1150 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS HAS BECOME BETTER-DEFINED OVER THE PAST SEVERAL
HOURS...THOUGH SHOWER ACTIVITY REMAINS LIMITED. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME INCREASINGLY FAVORABLE FOR A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO FORM DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE
SYSTEM MOVES OVER WARMER WATER. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...70
PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES GENERALLY TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 10
TO 15 MPH.

2. A WEAK NON-TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE AREA CENTERED A COUPLE HUNDRED
MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA IS PRODUCING
DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA
AND ADJACENT WATERS. ANY DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO
BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 5 TO 10
MPH. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING
A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...THOUGH CONDITIONS
COULD BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT AFTER THAT TIME.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/BROWN
NNNN
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_atl.shtml
Woeisme
Posts: 250
Incept: 2007-12-12
Green
Newport Beach, Cali
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----------
...I am a man of unclean lips, and I live among a people of unclean lips, and my eyes have seen the King, the LORD Almighty.
Zarathustra
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Incept: 2009-04-29
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Funkytown
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Woeisme,

Very interesting, indeed...

----------
"And in knowing that you know nothing, that makes you the smartest of all." - Socrates
Zarathustra
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Funkytown
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----------
"And in knowing that you know nothing, that makes you the smartest of all." - Socrates
Resistance
Posts: 6162
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I still can't figure out why people live in New Orleans, and why we paid all that money to rebuild it after Katrina...

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"Why must political experiments always be in the direction of more government? Why not give the free market a county or even a state or two, and see what it can accomplish?"Murray Rothbard - The Fallacy of the Public Sector
Nullzero
Posts: 947
Incept: 2008-11-19
Green
SOCAL
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Quote:
I still can't figure out why people live in New Orleans, and why we paid all that money to rebuild it after Katrina...


I agree, just bulldoze everything down there. Then reserve it as a natural habitat area, and repopulate it with thousands of alligators.
Antone
Posts: 7663
Incept: 2008-02-03
Green
Seditionia, USSA
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Quote:
I agree, just bulldoze everything down there. Then reserve it as a natural habitat area, and repopulate it with thousands of alligators.


* Preferably alligators that are trained to consume oil & corexit.

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As if anything has changed:

Wir sind gefickt.
Woeisme
Posts: 250
Incept: 2007-12-12
Green
Newport Beach, Cali
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5pm est, 40% chance of development (raised from 30% at 2pm est)
Inline

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...I am a man of unclean lips, and I live among a people of unclean lips, and my eyes have seen the King, the LORD Almighty.
Bezzle
Posts: 15043
Incept: 2009-08-02
Green

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I saw 94 close off a cumulus circulation on visible satellite in the late afternoon, and eight hours later precipitation is banding.

(Live radar)
inline

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El Sock-Puppeto exposed and killed by Tickerguy
Zarathustra
Posts: 5953
Incept: 2009-04-29
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Funkytown
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"And in knowing that you know nothing, that makes you the smartest of all." - Socrates
Zarathustra
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Incept: 2009-04-29
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Funkytown
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The oil-spill workers need alot of time to move equipment, etc. I expect the update at 11am to tell alot about what happens down here soon with the spill relief...

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"And in knowing that you know nothing, that makes you the smartest of all." - Socrates
Drench
Posts: 28631
Incept: 2009-11-10
Green
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inline
Quote:
ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT TUE AUG 10 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

1. SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 820 MILES
EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE LEEWARDS ISLANDS HAS NOT BECOME ANY BETTER
ORGANIZED SINCE YESTERDAY. THE LOW HAS SLOWED DOWN AND IS EXPECTED
TO MOVE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD OR NORTHWARD TOWARD AN ENVIRONMENT A
LITTLE LESS FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. HOWEVER... THERE IS STILL A
HIGH CHANCE...60 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

2. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF
MEXICO...A LITTLE LESS THAN 100 MILES WEST OF SOUTHWEST COAST OF
THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...IS ACCOMPANIED BY A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS
AND SQUALLS. ALTHOUGH THERE HAS BEEN LITTLE CHANGE IN ORGANIZATION
DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS...UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE FORECAST TO
BECOME A LITTLE MORE CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT. THERE IS A HIGH
CHANCE...60 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL OR
SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS THE LOW MOVES
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA
NNNN
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_atl.shtml

Drench
Posts: 28631
Incept: 2009-11-10
Green
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Quote:
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF
MEXICO...ABOUT 100 MILES WEST OF SOUTHWEST COAST OF THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA...IS ACCOMPANIED BY A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND SQUALLS.
SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THERE HAS BEEN A GRADUAL INCREASE IN
ORGANIZATION TODAY. HOWEVER...THE ENVIRONMENT IS NOT IDEAL FOR
SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT. AN AIR FORCE PLANE IS APPROACHING THE
SYSTEM AND WILL HELP TO DETERMINE IF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS
FORMING...AND IF SO...WATCHES OR WARNINGS COULD BE REQUIRED FOR A
PORTION OF THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST AS EARLY AS THIS
AFTERNOON. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...70 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_atl.shtml
Chellie
Posts: 1153
Incept: 2008-09-29
Green A True American Patriot!
Cleveland
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Quote:
000
WTNT35 KNHC 102336
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052010
730 PM EDT TUE AUG 10 2010

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO...

SUMMARY OF 730 PM EDT...2330 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.0N 84.1W
ABOUT 260 MI...420 KM SSE OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA
ABOUT 375 MI...600 KM SE OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF
MEXICO COAST FROM DESTIN FLORIDA TO INTRACOASTAL CITY
LOUISIANA...INCLUDING LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND NEW ORLEANS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DESTIN FLORIDA TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA...INCLUDING LAKE
PONTCHARTRAIN AND NEW ORLEANS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 730 PM EDT...2330 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.1 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/HR A
GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER
OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE APPROACHING THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF
OF MEXICO BY LATE WEDNESDAY OR EARLY THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SLOW STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED...AND THE DEPRESSION IS
FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON WEDNESDAY.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE NORTHERN
AND NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN AFFECTING THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA BY LATE WEDNESDAY...MAKING OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS.

STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 2
TO 4 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR AND TO
THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY...1100 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH/KIMBERLAIN



This, obviously, is the disturbance off the west coast of FL

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"If you want a vision of the future, imagine a boot stamping on a human face - forever."
Avianphlu
Posts: 3933
Incept: 2008-12-03
Gold A True American Patriot!
Ulster NY
Online
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when you guys copy and paste data...it blurs the vision...take the time to digest it and condense it for the reader please

otherwise ...
Randy123
Posts: 5776
Incept: 2008-09-24
Green
Earth
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Will this puppy bring rain to the Northeast?

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China is the Enemy. Wake Up.

New Normal. Same As The Old Awful.
Chellie
Posts: 1153
Incept: 2008-09-29
Green A True American Patriot!
Cleveland
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Quote:
when you guys copy and paste data...it blurs the vision...take the time to digest it and condense it for the reader please

otherwise ...


Tropical Depression off the west coast of FL heading towards the northern Gulf coast.
Will probably be a Tropical Storm tomorrow up until landfall.


Lots of rain and wind early Thursday morning for Louisiana over to the FL panhandle.


Good & condensed?


Randy: probably not, doesn't seem strong enough to hold together that long. We sure could use it here in Ohio....

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"If you want a vision of the future, imagine a boot stamping on a human face - forever."

Fidgit
Posts: 17784
Incept: 2008-02-18
Green
Tax Unit #1,384,923,781
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Hey, thanks to Danielle we might actually get rain this weekend, yay!! smiley
Genesis
Posts: 130717
Incept: 2007-06-26
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Yep. Prolly gonna rain, and I like it.

Tropical Storm warnings up for this area; I do not expect any disruption to Ticker Central out of this one.

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I don't care if it makes sense -- only if it makes money. -- Me
Bank (n): See scam, fraud and theft. Eat a bankster -- they're low-carb.
What part of "shall not be infringed" was unclear?

Antone
Posts: 7663
Incept: 2008-02-03
Green
Seditionia, USSA
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You can take the rain. I've had more than enough this year. It seems to storm everyday. So far, on pace for wettest year on record - (Des Moines, IA).

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As if anything has changed:

Wir sind gefickt.
Drench
Posts: 28631
Incept: 2009-11-10
Green
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Friday landfall. Plenty of time for things to get weird.

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