| User Info
| 2010: Danielle in forum [RagingEarth]
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Bezzle
Posts: 15043
Incept: 2009-08-02
Banned
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El Sock-Puppeto exposed and killed by Tickerguy
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Crossthread
Posts: 4550
Incept: 2007-09-04
Wilmington, NC
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Hmmmm Bezzel, A "homebrew" storm right off MY coast, how could I missed that? They usually don't happen until very late in the season.... Plus, We've got plenty of SW "shear", doubt anything comes of it.. Let me go check My weather forum for info....
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“Cognitive Co-Dependency” is when a normal rational person, internalizes irrational illogical presentations, and somehow reconciles them to fit their scripted indoctrination of logical analysis.Quote:Samuel L. Clemens:There is NO Native Criminal Class; EXCEPT for CONgress
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Drench
Posts: 28631
Incept: 2009-11-10
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Quote:ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 PM EDT FRI AUG 6 2010
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM COLIN...LOCATED ABOUT 280 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF BERMUDA.
1. A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC IS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW PRESSURE LOCATED A LITTLE MORE THAN 700 MILES WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
2. ALTHOUGH THE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE IS SHOWING SOME ORGANIZATION ON SATELLITE...PRESSURES ARE NOT FALLING AND THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF A DEVELOPING SURFACE CIRCULATION. THIS SYSTEM COULD GAIN SOME ADDITIONAL ORGANIZATION BEFORE MOVING OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND BELIZE ON SATURDAY. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
$$ FORECASTER AVILA NNNN http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_atl.shtml
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Bezzle
Posts: 15043
Incept: 2009-08-02
Banned
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http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/f....One of the two systems likeliest to become Danielle are on the right. The one in the lower-right corner is particularly vigorous with an already apparent 700mb circulation and strong surface convergence.
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El Sock-Puppeto exposed and killed by Tickerguy
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Drench
Posts: 28631
Incept: 2009-11-10
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Quote:ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT SUN AUG 8 2010
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON RECENTLY DOWNGRADED TROPICAL DEPRESSION COLIN...LOCATED ABOUT 45 MILES WEST OF BERMUDA.
1. A LOW PRESSURE AREA LOCATED ABOUT 1150 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS HAS BECOME BETTER-DEFINED OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS...THOUGH SHOWER ACTIVITY REMAINS LIMITED. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME INCREASINGLY FAVORABLE FOR A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO FORM DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE SYSTEM MOVES OVER WARMER WATER. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...70 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES GENERALLY TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH.
2. A WEAK NON-TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE AREA CENTERED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND ADJACENT WATERS. ANY DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...THOUGH CONDITIONS COULD BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT AFTER THAT TIME.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
$$ FORECASTER BLAKE/BROWN NNNN http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_atl.shtml
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Woeisme
Posts: 250
Incept: 2007-12-12
Newport Beach, Cali
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...I am a man of unclean lips, and I live among a people of unclean lips, and my eyes have seen the King, the LORD Almighty.
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Zarathustra
Posts: 5953
Incept: 2009-04-29
Funkytown
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Woeisme,
Very interesting, indeed...
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"And in knowing that you know nothing, that makes you the smartest of all." - Socrates
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Zarathustra
Posts: 5953
Incept: 2009-04-29
Funkytown
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"And in knowing that you know nothing, that makes you the smartest of all." - Socrates
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Resistance
Posts: 6162
Incept: 2008-09-26
Banned
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I still can't figure out why people live in New Orleans, and why we paid all that money to rebuild it after Katrina...
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"Why must political experiments always be in the direction of more government? Why not give the free market a county or even a state or two, and see what it can accomplish?"Murray Rothbard - The Fallacy of the Public Sector
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Nullzero
Posts: 947
Incept: 2008-11-19
SOCAL
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Quote:I still can't figure out why people live in New Orleans, and why we paid all that money to rebuild it after Katrina... I agree, just bulldoze everything down there. Then reserve it as a natural habitat area, and repopulate it with thousands of alligators.
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Antone
Posts: 7663
Incept: 2008-02-03
Seditionia, USSA
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Quote:I agree, just bulldoze everything down there. Then reserve it as a natural habitat area, and repopulate it with thousands of alligators. * Preferably alligators that are trained to consume oil & corexit.
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As if anything has changed:
Wir sind gefickt.
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Woeisme
Posts: 250
Incept: 2007-12-12
Newport Beach, Cali
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5pm est, 40% chance of development (raised from 30% at 2pm est)
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...I am a man of unclean lips, and I live among a people of unclean lips, and my eyes have seen the King, the LORD Almighty.
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Bezzle
Posts: 15043
Incept: 2009-08-02
Banned
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I saw 94 close off a cumulus circulation on visible satellite in the late afternoon, and eight hours later precipitation is banding. (Live radar) 
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El Sock-Puppeto exposed and killed by Tickerguy
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Zarathustra
Posts: 5953
Incept: 2009-04-29
Funkytown
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"And in knowing that you know nothing, that makes you the smartest of all." - Socrates
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Zarathustra
Posts: 5953
Incept: 2009-04-29
Funkytown
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The oil-spill workers need alot of time to move equipment, etc. I expect the update at 11am to tell alot about what happens down here soon with the spill relief...
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"And in knowing that you know nothing, that makes you the smartest of all." - Socrates
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Drench
Posts: 28631
Incept: 2009-11-10
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 Quote:ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 AM EDT TUE AUG 10 2010
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
1. SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 820 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE LEEWARDS ISLANDS HAS NOT BECOME ANY BETTER ORGANIZED SINCE YESTERDAY. THE LOW HAS SLOWED DOWN AND IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD OR NORTHWARD TOWARD AN ENVIRONMENT A LITTLE LESS FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. HOWEVER... THERE IS STILL A HIGH CHANCE...60 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
2. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO...A LITTLE LESS THAN 100 MILES WEST OF SOUTHWEST COAST OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...IS ACCOMPANIED BY A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND SQUALLS. ALTHOUGH THERE HAS BEEN LITTLE CHANGE IN ORGANIZATION DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS...UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BECOME A LITTLE MORE CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...60 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS THE LOW MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
$$ FORECASTER AVILA NNNN http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_atl.shtml
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Drench
Posts: 28631
Incept: 2009-11-10
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Quote:A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO...ABOUT 100 MILES WEST OF SOUTHWEST COAST OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...IS ACCOMPANIED BY A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND SQUALLS. SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THERE HAS BEEN A GRADUAL INCREASE IN ORGANIZATION TODAY. HOWEVER...THE ENVIRONMENT IS NOT IDEAL FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT. AN AIR FORCE PLANE IS APPROACHING THE SYSTEM AND WILL HELP TO DETERMINE IF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS FORMING...AND IF SO...WATCHES OR WARNINGS COULD BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST AS EARLY AS THIS AFTERNOON. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...70 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH. http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_atl.shtml
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Chellie
Posts: 1153
Incept: 2008-09-29
Cleveland
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Quote:000 WTNT35 KNHC 102336 TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052010 730 PM EDT TUE AUG 10 2010
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO...
SUMMARY OF 730 PM EDT...2330 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...26.0N 84.1W ABOUT 260 MI...420 KM SSE OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA ABOUT 375 MI...600 KM SE OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST FROM DESTIN FLORIDA TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA...INCLUDING LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND NEW ORLEANS.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * DESTIN FLORIDA TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA...INCLUDING LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND NEW ORLEANS
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 730 PM EDT...2330 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.1 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/HR A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE APPROACHING THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO BY LATE WEDNESDAY OR EARLY THURSDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SLOW STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED...AND THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON WEDNESDAY.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE NORTHERN AND NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST.
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN AFFECTING THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA BY LATE WEDNESDAY...MAKING OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS.
STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.
NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT ADVISORY...1100 PM EDT.
$$ FORECASTER PASCH/KIMBERLAIN
This, obviously, is the disturbance off the west coast of FL
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"If you want a vision of the future, imagine a boot stamping on a human face - forever."
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Avianphlu
Posts: 3933
Incept: 2008-12-03
Ulster NY
Online
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when you guys copy and paste data...it blurs the vision...take the time to digest it and condense it for the reader please
otherwise ...
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Randy123
Posts: 5776
Incept: 2008-09-24
Earth
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Will this puppy bring rain to the Northeast?
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China is the Enemy. Wake Up.
New Normal. Same As The Old Awful.
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Chellie
Posts: 1153
Incept: 2008-09-29
Cleveland
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Quote:when you guys copy and paste data...it blurs the vision...take the time to digest it and condense it for the reader please
otherwise ... Tropical Depression off the west coast of FL heading towards the northern Gulf coast. Will probably be a Tropical Storm tomorrow up until landfall. Lots of rain and wind early Thursday morning for Louisiana over to the FL panhandle. Good & condensed? Randy: probably not, doesn't seem strong enough to hold together that long. We sure could use it here in Ohio....
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"If you want a vision of the future, imagine a boot stamping on a human face - forever."
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Fidgit
Posts: 17784
Incept: 2008-02-18
Tax Unit #1,384,923,781
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Hey, thanks to Danielle we might actually get rain this weekend, yay!! 
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Genesis
Posts: 130717
Incept: 2007-06-26
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Yep. Prolly gonna rain, and I like it.
Tropical Storm warnings up for this area; I do not expect any disruption to Ticker Central out of this one.
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I don't care if it makes sense -- only if it makes money. -- Me Bank (n): See scam, fraud and theft. Eat a bankster -- they're low-carb. What part of "shall not be infringed" was unclear?
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Antone
Posts: 7663
Incept: 2008-02-03
Seditionia, USSA
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You can take the rain. I've had more than enough this year. It seems to storm everyday. So far, on pace for wettest year on record - (Des Moines, IA).
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As if anything has changed:
Wir sind gefickt.
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Drench
Posts: 28631
Incept: 2009-11-10
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Friday landfall. Plenty of time for things to get weird.
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