Detailed market commentary at The Market Ticker and Ticker Classics (The Year 2009 In Review)
Seeing huge swings in your account value? On margin? Read my "Come to Jesus" Ticker? If not, please do. Click here.
BlogTalkRadio - Mondays at 3:30 Central - Yes, TickerGuy has a radio show (kinda)
See The Federationists on their new web site and forum.
Donate to obtain GOLD ACCESS for enhanced privileges. Interested in T-Shirts, caps and coffee mugs? Click here.
RSS available
MarketTicker Forums Read Message in NotSoBreakingPrice User: Not logged on

Top Forum Top Login Control Panel FAQ Register Logout

Showing Page 1 of 5  First12345Last
User Info Bonds Tanking... in forum [NotSoBreakingPrice]
070969
Posts: 997
Incept: 2009-04-10

CHICAGO
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List Ignore this thread
EOM...

2009-05-21 11:28:55
Permalink
Amgrace
Posts: 1304
Incept: 2008-02-15

New Castle, PA 16101
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
Yes indeed! So how far do stocks have to fall these days to even get a bid back in the Treasury market....

----------
"In an informal survey at a recent meeting of 150 or so institutions, those admitting to feeling nervous about underexposure to risk outnumbered those feeling too aggressive by a neat 10 to 1! This also suggests how a speculative rally can keep going longer than reasonable investors expect." - Jeremy Grantham 07/2009
2009-05-21 11:36:16
Permalink
Financeguy
Posts: 4945
Incept: 2007-08-10

Charlotte
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
One of these days they are going to fall in tandem and keep falling.....

----------
"Granted, if you are not into Barbara Streisand and creme brulee, South Beach could be a tad lonely." Eleua
2009-05-21 11:51:50
Permalink
Randy123
Posts: 2001
Incept: 2008-09-24
New Jersey
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
Yep, ugly day.

----------

Mliu is my hero. Captain melamine.
2009-05-21 11:52:31
Permalink
Schwantz
Posts: 5077
Incept: 2007-11-12

Monkey Do
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
They'd better crash the market quick..

----------
Dives sum, si non reddo eis quibus debeo
Smash the Keynesian idiocracy!
2009-05-21 11:54:25
Permalink
Rdaniels
Posts: 148
Incept: 2007-11-30

Indiana
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
That's a hellava reversal.

2009-05-21 11:54:49
Permalink
Randy123
Posts: 2001
Incept: 2008-09-24
New Jersey
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
They need to break 7500 and they know it.

----------

Mliu is my hero. Captain melamine.
2009-05-21 11:55:51
Permalink
Tbear
Posts: 2526
Incept: 2007-10-30

Tug Hill
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
Treasury bot $7.4 Billion.

Problem is, $45.7 Bil were offered.

oooops.


FAIL

2009-05-21 12:11:46
Permalink
Decoudres
Posts: 23
Incept: 2007-11-28
Charlotte
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
Yeah, WTF??? That's 8 bps straight up. Was there a bad auction today or are the bond vigilanties not liking the idea of more money out to GMAC, etc?

2009-05-21 12:14:04
Permalink
Dashingdwl
Posts: 4564
Incept: 2007-06-26

los angeles
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
May 21, 2009, 11:11 a.m. EST
Treasury to sell $101 billion in debt next week

NEW YORK (MarketWatch) -- The Treasury Department said Thursday it plans to sell $101 billion in debt next week in its monthly round of shorter-term note offerings. The government will sell $40 billion in 2-year notes (UST2YR 0.83, 0.00, -0.48%) on Tuesday, matching the amount expected by Wrightson ICAP. It will also offer $35 billion in 5-year notes (UST5YR 2.01, -0.01, -0.69%) the following day and $28 billion in 7-year notes next Thursday. The 7-year security was reintroduced in March to help the government spread out the increasing debt issuance needed to fund all of lawmakers' stimulus plans and the Fed's programs to stabilize financial markets

----------
Think Green Tip.
2009-05-21 12:14:22
Permalink
Psgirl
Posts: 3654
Incept: 2009-02-18

Online
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
Anyone know what the reaction to this should be in the equity market?

2009-05-21 12:14:49
Permalink
Genesis
Posts: 71346
Incept: 2007-06-26
A True American Patriot!
KD^2
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
Ben buys = Money goes into primary dealers (cash)

It has to go SOMEWHERE. Guess where it might go?

----------
"The monetary base in ALL modern monetary systems is the sum of unencumbered assets against which one is both WILLING AND ABLE to borrow." - Me
2009-05-21 12:16:47
Permalink
Phirang
Posts: 8812
Incept: 2008-10-25

bar khoba's revenge
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
BAC, STT, JPM, and every other debt-ridden corpse that's floating today!

----------
The Treasury can issue debt on your behalf because the State can and will stomp the wealth out of you and your family.
2009-05-21 12:17:49
Permalink
Schwantz
Posts: 5077
Incept: 2007-11-12

Monkey Do
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
Meanwhile the bigger money moves out of everything US

----------
Dives sum, si non reddo eis quibus debeo
Smash the Keynesian idiocracy!
2009-05-21 12:18:35
Permalink
Phirang
Posts: 8812
Incept: 2008-10-25

bar khoba's revenge
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
Paulson huge gold allocation looking smarter by the minute... hot damn!

----------
The Treasury can issue debt on your behalf because the State can and will stomp the wealth out of you and your family.
2009-05-21 12:20:16
Permalink
Decoudres
Posts: 23
Incept: 2007-11-28
Charlotte
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
Isn't the Treasury SELLING the notes??? Thus, the primary dealers and other sovereign govts are the ones buying. At least we hope other coutries are still buying our debt - otherwise we're screwed.

Or am I reading this wrong?

2009-05-21 12:22:23
Permalink
Dashingdwl
Posts: 4564
Incept: 2007-06-26

los angeles
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
Ben bought today. $7 B to PDs.
Treasury selling next week. $100B from somewhere.

----------
Think Green Tip.
2009-05-21 12:23:33
Permalink
Decoudres
Posts: 23
Incept: 2007-11-28
Charlotte
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
3.31 now and still climbing - that's a hell of a woody.

2009-05-21 12:27:01
Permalink
Creditcalmass
Posts: 1144
Incept: 2008-06-04
4 train, NY
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
Back down to 3.29, spiked to 3.32 though, trendline for the day still in play.

Something wicked this way comes (The Bond Market Monster)

2009-05-21 12:33:42
Permalink
Ukyank
Posts: 906
Incept: 2008-10-09
Little village on a small island...austerity anyone?
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
This flirting with 3.3 is worrysome....I came across some historical data today that some consider represents the trigger of the two great deflationary depressions in the USA....from memory the data was (these are from memory, trying to locate the source):

1853 : 10-year treasury yield : 3.4
1929 : 10-year treasury yield : 3.3

Can only assume this is critical level because it appears to be where the spreads begin to shrink (reach minimum) in a deleveraging environment...does this make sense?

----------
"The distinction between needs and wants will reveal itself like a sledgehammer." James Quinn, Jan 5, 2009
2009-05-21 13:00:37
Permalink
Bartman
Posts: 448
Incept: 2007-08-11
TX
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
Quote:
Ben buys = Money goes into primary dealers (cash)

It has to go SOMEWHERE. Guess where it might go?



Treasury is selling bonds throught PDs, right? Then doesn't the CASH go to Treasury? How would the PDs be able to use this cash (besides the fees they receive) at their discretion?

2009-05-21 13:11:06
Permalink
Doctormad
Posts: 1801
Incept: 2007-09-09

Ohio
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
Financeguy,

Quote:
One of these days they are going to fall in tandem and keep falling.....


Already starting to happen. This is setting up to be the third day in the past 4 weeks where bonds and stocks are going to be down together significantly (greater than 1.5%).



2009-05-21 13:14:00
Permalink
Jeffrey_thomason
Posts: 487
Incept: 2009-03-11
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
Doctormad wrote..

Financeguy,

Quote:

One of these days they are going to fall in tandem and keep falling.....



Already starting to happen. This is setting up to be the third day in the past 4 weeks where bonds and stocks are going to be down together significantly (greater than 1.5%).


Not to mention the USD Index as well, which I thought wasn't suppose to happen.

2009-05-21 13:20:45
Permalink
Seabassbanker
Posts: 2689
Incept: 2008-03-09

HELL IF I KNOW
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
yeah eur is on a rampage against bucky

----------
October 15th, 2007 Bernanke: "It is not the responsibility of the Federal Reserve - nor would it be appropriate - to protect lenders and investors from the consequences of their financial decisions." LIAR LIAR
2009-05-21 13:21:43
Permalink
Leraconteur
Posts: 7189
Incept: 2007-12-03
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
Thread in Rumour that the ECB's just got fed up. Also the bid/cover for the T auction was 6.17 : 1, Gold up to 950, equities tanking.

All in all, a huge mess.

2009-05-21 13:26:01
Permalink
Top Forum Top Login Control Panel Logout
Showing Page 1 of 5  First12345Last

AKCS V12.1 Copyright 1993-2010 Karl Denninger. All Rights Reserved
Email the AKCS Owner